Xiyuan Ren

Learning Heterogeneous Travel Preferences from Big Mobility Data: Agent-based Mixed Logit and Applications to Microtransit

ITS Graduate Student Association (ITS GSA)

Abstract

Large-scale mobility data are transforming how we observe travel behavior, yet translating these observations into reliable and interpretable preference estimates remains challenging. Conventional discrete choice models provide a rigorous behavioral foundation, but assumptions about taste distributions can limit their ability to capture complex taste heterogeneity. Meanwhile, more flexible data-driven approaches, particularly neural-network-based models, often face challenges in interpretability, model identification, and estimation stability. This talk introduces an agent-based mixed logit (AMXL) framework that leverages inverse optimization to recover empirical distributions of taste parameters. The AMXL formulation decomposes taste heterogeneity into population-level tastes associated with traveler characteristics and agent-specific deviations learned from large choice data. Using simulated EV charging location choice data, the talk compares AMXL with mixed logit and TasteNet-logit in terms of predictive accuracy, taste parameter recovery, and robustness to noise in observed attributes. The talk further demonstrates the scalability of AMXL through a citywide microtransit revenue management application in Arlington, Texas. By integrating synthetic travel demand, a joint mode–subscription model, and simulation-based policy evaluation, the study examines how subscription pricing and targeted subsidies affect microtransit ridership, operator revenue, and traveler welfare.

Participants

Xiyuan Ren

Xiyuan (Ryan) Ren

Postdoctoral Associate

C2SMART Center, New York University

Speaker