working paper

Review and Evaluation of Transport-Related Fuel-Use Forecasting Models

Publication Date

March 31, 1991

Abstract

This report provides an exhaustive review of the state-of-the-art in transportation-related energy demand forecasting models. Models used for forecasting fuel demand and consumption in the passenger vehicle, transit and freight sectors of the transportation economy are described and discussed. Based on the review, recommendations are made on how the accuracy and robustness of the forecasts can be improved while explicitly incorporating behavioral relationships among various users of transportation services.