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An Ordinal Multivariate Analysis of Accident Counts as Functions of Traffic Approach Volumes at Intersections
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Abstract
This research is concerned with the statistical analysis of accident counts at non-signalized intersections. The objective is to develop a method for determining general (non-linear) relationships between approach volumes and accident counts. The method must accommodate the testing of whether intersections of differing physical designs have higher or lower rates of accidents than predicted by traffic levels. It is assumed that only aggregate data are available: (1) counts of total accidents by type (e.g., injury versus property damage) without details concerning the locational position(s) of the vehicle(s) involved; and (2) aggregate traffic intensity on each intersection entry without details concerning turning volumes. The method involves the application of non-linear multivariate methods to variables treated as ordinal scales. A case study application involving four-leg and three-leg (“T”) non-signalized major arterial intersections in the Netherlands is described. The effect of bicycle traffic on accident rates is included in the case study analysis. The results indicate that there are three groups of each of the two types of intersections based on traffic flow patterns. For each group, a different functional form was found to relate accident rates and specific variables measuring traffic volumes. There were no significant differences among the physical design categories of the intersections in each group that were not accounted for by differences in traffic intensities.
Suggested Citation
Thomas F. Golob, Bolie Ruhl, Henk Meurs and Leo van Wissen (1987) An Ordinal Multivariate Analysis of Accident Counts as Functions of Traffic Approach Volumes at Intersections. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-87-6. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8rt356ss.published journal article
Jurisdictional Size and Residential Development: Are Large-Scale Local Governments More Receptive to Multifamily Housing?
Urban Affairs Review
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Author(s)
Abstract
In the United States, particularly in high-cost urban areas, local resistance to multifamily housing development has been widely noted. In many metropolitan areas, legal authority over land-use regulation is assigned to jurisdictions that often are very small, and some scholars argue that this small-scale local control institutionalizes neighborhood-level opposition to new construction. Using census tracts as units of analysis, we assess the relationship between the population size of the city, county, or township that regulates a tract’s land use and the change in multifamily units between two recent waves of the American Community Survey (2008–2012 and 2014–2018). Results of regression analysis indicate that larger jurisdictional population size is indeed associated with increased multifamily construction. However, the relationship applies only for jurisdictions with populations exceeding 100,000 and decays at jurisdictional populations of more than 1 million. This nonlinearity may reflect quasi-monopolistic land-use control in the largest jurisdictions.
Suggested Citation
Nicholas J. Marantz and Paul G. Lewis (2022) “Jurisdictional Size and Residential Development: Are Large-Scale Local Governments More Receptive to Multifamily Housing?”, Urban Affairs Review, 58(3), pp. 732–766. Available at: 10.1177/1078087420988598.working paper
Uncertainty And The Timing Of An Urban Congestion Relief Investment
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Abstract
We analyze the impact of population uncertainty on the socially optimum timing of a congestion-relief project in a linear monocentric city with fixed boundaries, where congestion pricing cannot be implemented. This project requires time to bear fruit but no urban land. Under certainty, we show that utility maximization is roughly equivalent to a standard benefit-cost analysis (BCA). Under uncertainty, we derive an explicit optimal threshold for relieving congestion when the urban population follows a geometric Brownian motion. If the time to implement the project is short, we show analytically that deciding on the timing of congestion relief based on a BCA could lead to acting prematurely; the reverse holds if project implementation is long and uncertainty is large enough.
Suggested Citation
Jean-Daniel M. Saphores and Marlon G. Boarnet (2004) Uncertainty And The Timing Of An Urban Congestion Relief Investment. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-04-2. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2x46m9pb.working paper
Distribution and Allocation of Transit Subsidies in California
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Author(s)
Working Paper
Areas of Expertise
Abstract
The allocation of federal and state transit assistance on the basis of population, employment or other demographic or geographic characteristics promotes policies which may not correspond to state or federal policies toward transit. Allocation formulas must be designed to provide operators with an incentive to comply with governmental policy. In addition, existing allocation procedures fail to promote effectiveness and efficiency in transit.service. Forty-nine performance indicators are analyzed on the basis of data availability, methodological correctness, and bias, and five are selected which measure system effectiveness and efficiency and allow comparison of one system against another. These indicators may be utilized in a subsidy allocation system providing both support for basic transit services and incentives for increased efficiency.
Suggested Citation
Gordon J. Fielding and Roy E. Glauthier (1976) Distribution and Allocation of Transit Subsidies in California. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-76-2. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8wx9v2qh.book/book chapter
Transportation, psychology of
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Author(s)
Suggested Citation
Raymond W. Novaco (2015) “Transportation, psychology of”, in International encyclopedia of the social & behavioral sciences. Elsevier, pp. 623–628. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-08-097086-8.22020-5.published journal article
A streamlined methodology for application of TRANSYT-7F
Institute of Transportation Engineers. ITE Journal
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Author(s)
Suggested Citation
John D Leonard and Wilfred W Recker (1997) “A streamlined methodology for application of TRANSYT-7F”, Institute of Transportation Engineers. ITE Journal, 67(2), p. 26. Available at: https://www.proquest.com/scholarly-journals/streamlined-methodology-application-transyt-7f/docview/224893864/se-2?accountid=14509.working paper
Population and Employment Densities: Structure and Change
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Associated Project
Author(s)
Working Paper
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Abstract
We examine spatial patterns and their changes during the 1970s for the Los Angeles region, by estimating monocentric and polycentric density functions for employment and population. Downtown Los Angeles is clearly identified as the statistical monocentric center of the region, and it is the most consistently strong center in the polycentric patterns. Polycentric models fit statistically better than monocentric models, and there was some shift in employment distribution toward a more polycentric pattern. These findings verify the existence of polycentricity in Los Angeles and demonstrate for the first time that employment and especially population follow a polycentric pattern based on exogenously defined employment centers. The results confirm that both employment and population became more dispersed during the 1970s.
Suggested Citation
Kenneth A. Small and Shunfeng Song (1994) Population and Employment Densities: Structure and Change. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-93-5, UCTC 161. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6nk5v6b4.published journal article
Intersectionality of individual and neighborhood-level adverse social determinants of health in early pregnancy
Pregnancy
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Author(s)
Abstract
Introduction Individual- and neighborhood-level social determinants of health (SDOH) have been assessed separately in pregnancy, but their relationship to one another remains uncertain. We investigated the intersectionality of three neighborhood-level SDOH measures with three individual-level SDOH measures. This was done to examine the concomitant experiences of multiple SDOH in pregnancy. Methods A secondary analysis of data from the Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-To-Be. We assessed three neighborhood-level SDOH measures using geocoded participant home addresses in the first trimester at the census-tract level: (1) high socioeconomic disadvantage (in tertiles) by the 2015 Area Deprivation Index, (2) inadequate food access by the USDA Food Access Research Atlas, and (3) low walkability by the EPA National Walkability Score. We assessed three individual-level SDOH measures: low household income, lower educational attainment, and Medicaid insurance. We examined the combinations of these three neighborhood SDOH and three individual SDOH measures by graphical visualization and using statistical tests to assess overall differences in the distribution of these measures. Results Of 9588 nulliparous individuals, adverse neighborhood-level SDOH [high socioeconomic disadvantage (28%), inadequate food access (24%), and low walkability (66%)] and adverse individual-level SDOH [low household income (19%), lower educational attainment (23%), and Medicaid insurance (33%)] were common in early pregnancy. Six percent of individuals lived in a community with all three adverse neighborhood-level SDOH measures. Of those living in a community with at least two neighborhood-level SDOH measures, 23% lived in areas with inadequate food access and low walkability, 19% with high socioeconomic disadvantage and low walkability, and 1% with high socioeconomic disadvantage and inadequate food access. Overall, 23% lived in a community with no adverse neighborhood-level SDOH, and among this group, 88% had no adverse individual-level SDOH. There were significant differences in adverse individual-level SDOH based on whether individuals lived in a community with all three adverse neighborhood-level measures [low household income (39%), lower educational attainment (44%), Medicaid (55%)], any two measures [low household income (22%), lower educational attainment (27%), Medicaid (37%)], or only one measure [low household income (14%), lower educational attainment (17%), Medicaid (27%)] (p < 0.001 for all). Conclusion Among nulliparous individuals in early pregnancy, the frequency of adverse individual-level SDOH was generally higher when they lived in communities with more adverse neighborhood-level SDOH. Future approaches that identify and classify the multifaceted and multilevel nature of structural determinants as they relate to pregnancy outcomes are needed.
Suggested Citation
Jameaka L. Hamilton, William A. Grobman, Jiqiang Wu, Lynn M. Yee, David Haas, Becky Mcneil, Brian Mercer, Hyagriv Simhan, Uma Reddy, Robert M. Silver, Samuel Parry, George Saade, Jun Wu, Courtney D. Lynch and Kartik K. Venkatesh (2025) “Intersectionality of individual and neighborhood-level adverse social determinants of health in early pregnancy”, Pregnancy, 1(2), p. e70002. Available at: 10.1002/pmf2.70002.working paper
Home Environment Consequences of Commute Travel Impedance
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Working Paper
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Abstract
The physical and perceptual dimensions of commuting travel impedance were again found to have stressful consequences in a study of 99 employees of two companies. This quasi-experimental replication study, which focuses here on home environment consequences, investigated the effects of physical impedance and subjective impedance on multivariate measures of residential satisfaction and personal affect in the home. Both sets of residential outcome measures were found to be significantly related to the two impedance dimensions. As predicted, gender was a significant moderator of physical impedance effects. Females commuting on high physical impedance routes were most negatively affected. Previously found subjective impedance effects on negative home mood, regardless of gender, were strongly replicated with several methods and were buttressed by convergent results with objective indices. The theoretical conjecture that subjective impedance mediates the stress effects of physical impedance was supported for the personal affect cluster but only for one variable in the residential satisfaction cluster. Traffic congestion has increased in metropolitan areas nationwide, and commuters, families, and organizations are absorbing associated hidden costs. The results are reviewed in terms of our ecological model, and the moderating effects of gender are discussed in terms of choice and role constraints.