published journal article

Hybrid cluster-regression approach to model bikeshare station usage

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice

Publication Date

September 1, 2018

Author(s)

Michael Hyland, Zihan Hong, Helen Karla Ramalho de Farias Pinto, Ying Chen

Abstract

This paper proposes a hybrid approach to model usage at public bikeshare system (PBS) stations. The proposed Cluster Stations and Regress (CSR) modeling approach involves first clustering PBS stations based on the types of trips they attract using k-means or fuzzy c-means clustering techniques. After obtaining station-cluster membership values for each station, the authors estimate multilevel mixed-effect regression models with interactions between the station-cluster membership variables and determinants of PBS station usage. Determinants considered in the empirical models include the socio-demographic and commute characteristics of the residents in each PBS stationâ??s census tract, weather variables, temporal variables, and PBS station proximity to restaurants, jobs, transit stops, rail stations, the central business district (CBD), bicycle infrastructure, and other PBS stations. The model results clearly indicate that determinants of PBS station usage vary across station-clusters and including station-cluster interaction terms significantly improves model fit. Additionally, the results of cross-validation tests indicate that the CSR approach is a promising method to model monthly PBS station usage. The empirical results also clear up conflicting findings in the literature in terms of the impact of nearby PBS stations on station usage. The authors find that station usage increases with the number of other PBS stations within 1â??5â?¯km for member trips. However, after controlling for this effect, station usage decreases as the number of other PBS stations within 0.8â?¯km increases.

Suggested Citation
Michael Hyland, Zihan Hong, Helen Karla Ramalho de Farias Pinto and Ying Chen (2018) “Hybrid cluster-regression approach to model bikeshare station usage”, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 115, pp. 71–89. Available at: 10.1016/j.tra.2017.11.009.

published journal article

Modeling polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) concentrations from wildfires in California

Agricultural and Forest Meteorology

Abstract

In recent years, wildfires in California have increased in frequency and intensity due to climate change and prolonged drought. The air pollutants released by wildfires cause significant health consequences, among which polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) are particularly toxic. Estimating PAH emissions from wildfires is challenging due to variability in vegetation types. In this study, we estimate PAH emission rates across California at a high resolution, based on laboratory-measured PAH emission rates from 22 different vegetation types and detailed vegetation mapping. By combining these estimates with biomass burning data from the NCAR Fire Inventory, the Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling System simulates PAH concentrations for the 2017 fire season. The modeling results compare favorably to measurements from three PAH monitoring sites in California. The peak PAH emissions from wildfire events are up to be 80 times higher in the gas phase and 32 times higher in the particle phase compared to a case without fire emissions. The population-weighted PAH concentrations from the fire case (0.053 µg/m3) are 47 % higher compared to a non-fire case (0.036 µg/m3) in the particle phase and 11 % higher in the gas phase (9.82 ppt compared to 8.83 ppt) during the study period. While highly depended on the meteorological condition, the simulated spatial distribution indicates that gas-phase PAHs are less likely to travel long distances from the fire source and are prone to aging into the particle phase during transport. Consequently, populations are more likely to be exposed to particle-phase PAHs during wildfire events. This finding has important implications for understanding the health impacts of wildfire-induced PAH concentrations, as particle-phase PAHs may have different toxicological effects compared to gas-phase PAHs.

Suggested Citation
Shupeng Zhu, Kai Wu, Michael Mac Kinnon, Jun Wu and Scott Samuelsen (2024) “Modeling polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) concentrations from wildfires in California”, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 352, p. 110043. Available at: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110043.

working paper

Hazard Models of Changing Household Demographics

Publication Date

December 1, 1994

Associated Project

Author(s)

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-94-11

Areas of Expertise

Abstract

In this paper, I develop demographic models which can be used to simulation household changes resulting from marriage, divorce or separation, childbirth, children leaving home, cohabitation, extended families living together, death, and so forth. They are dynamic in nature, and are meant to be used within a larger microsimulation system. In fact, they can be used by any microsimulation system that models decision-making at the household level. They extend previous work in three ways: 1) by using continuos time hazard models, 2) by allowing for inter-dependencies across the various type of changes that a household may undergo, and 3) by including several important covariates. These covariates include age, gender, race, education, income, employment status, and indicators for previous demographic events (e.g. birth of a child out-of-wedlock and previous marriages). They provide insight into the demographic patterns across different socioeconomic groups.

Suggested Citation
Camilla Kazimi (1994) Hazard Models of Changing Household Demographics. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-94-11. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/31t362sh.

published journal article

Closure to “ digital imaging concepts and applications in pavement management ” by Stephen G. Ritchie (May/June, 1990, vol. 116, no. 3)

Journal of Transportation Engineering

Publication Date

July 1, 1992

Author(s)

Suggested Citation
Stephen G. Ritchie (1992) “Closure to “ digital imaging concepts and applications in pavement management ” by Stephen G. Ritchie (May/June, 1990, vol. 116, no. 3)”, Journal of Transportation Engineering, 118(4), pp. 603–605. Available at: 10.1061/(asce)0733-947x(1992)118:4(603.2).

conference paper

Traffic density estimation using radar sensor data from probe vehicles

Proceedings of the ITS World Congress

Publication Date

January 1, 2017
Suggested Citation
D Nam, R Lavanya, I Yang and R Jayakrishnan (2017) “Traffic density estimation using radar sensor data from probe vehicles”, in Proceedings of the ITS World Congress.

Phd Dissertation

Network-wide truck tracking using advanced point detector data

Abstract

Trucks contribute disproportionally to traffic congestion, emissions, road safety issues, and infrastructure and maintenance costs. In addition, truck flow patterns are known to vary by season and time-of-day as trucks serve different industries and facilities. Therefore, truck flow data are critical for transportation planning, freight modeling, and highway infrastructure design and operations. However, the current data sources only provide partial truck flow or point observations. This dissertation developed a framework for estimating path flows of trucks by tracking individual vehicles as they traverse detector stations over long distances. Truck physical attributes and inductive waveform signatures were collected from advanced point detector systems and used to match vehicles between detector locations by a Selective Weighted Bayesian Model (SWBM). The key feature variables that were the most influential in distinguishing vehicles were identified and emphasized in the SWBM to efficiently and successfully track vehicles across road networks. The initial results showed that the Bayesian approach with the full integration of two complementary detector data types – advanced inductive loop detectors and Weigh-in-Motion (WIM) sensors – could successfully track trucks over long distances (i.e., 26 miles) by minimizing the impacts of measurement variations and errors from the detection systems. The network implementation of the model demonstrated high coverage and accuracy, which affirmed the capability of the tracking approach to provide comprehensive truck travel patterns in a complex network. Specifically, the model was able to successfully match 90 percent of multi-unit trucks where only 67 percent of trucks observed at a downstream site passed an upstream detection site. A strategic plan to identify optimal sensor locations to maximize benefits from the truck tracking model was also proposed. A decision model that optimally locates sensors to capture the maximum truck OD and route flow was investigated using a goal programming approach. This approach suggested optimal locations for tracking implementation in a large truck network considering a limited budget. Results showed that sensor locations from a maximum-flow-capturing approach were more advantageous to observe truck flow than a conventional sensor location approach that focuses on OD and route identifiability.

Suggested Citation
Kyung Hyun (2016) Network-wide truck tracking using advanced point detector data. Ph.D.. UC Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7jw638xt (Accessed: October 12, 2023).

conference paper

OTEM: Optimized thermal and energy management for hybrid electrical energy storage in electric vehicles

Proceedings of the 2016 design, automation & test in europe conference & exhibition (DATE)

Publication Date

January 1, 2016

Author(s)

Korosh Vatanparvar, Mohammad Al Faruque
Suggested Citation
Korosh Vatanparvar and Mohammad Abdullah Al Faruque (2016) “OTEM: Optimized thermal and energy management for hybrid electrical energy storage in electric vehicles”, in Proceedings of the 2016 design, automation & test in europe conference & exhibition (DATE). Research Publishing Services, pp. 19–24. Available at: 10.3850/9783981537079_0904.

conference paper

Battery lifetime-aware automotive climate control for electric vehicles

Proceedings of the 52nd annual design automation conference on - DAC '15

Publication Date

January 1, 2015

Author(s)

Korosh Vatanparvar, Mohammad Al Faruque
Suggested Citation
Korosh Vatanparvar and Mohammad Abdullah Al Faruque (2015) “Battery lifetime-aware automotive climate control for electric vehicles”, in Proceedings of the 52nd annual design automation conference on - DAC '15. ACM Press, pp. 1–6. Available at: 10.1145/2744769.2744804.

working paper

Uncertainty And The Timing Of An Urban Congestion Relief Investment

Publication Date

March 1, 2004

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-04-2

Areas of Expertise

Abstract

We analyze the impact of population uncertainty on the socially optimum timing of a congestion-relief project in a linear monocentric city with fixed boundaries, where congestion pricing cannot be implemented. This project requires time to bear fruit but no urban land. Under certainty, we show that utility maximization is roughly equivalent to a standard benefit-cost analysis (BCA). Under uncertainty, we derive an explicit optimal threshold for relieving congestion when the urban population follows a geometric Brownian motion. If the time to implement the project is short, we show analytically that deciding on the timing of congestion relief based on a BCA could lead to acting prematurely; the reverse holds if project implementation is long and uncertainty is large enough.

Suggested Citation
Jean-Daniel M. Saphores and Marlon G. Boarnet (2004) Uncertainty And The Timing Of An Urban Congestion Relief Investment. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-04-2. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2x46m9pb.