Abstract
TBD
Phd Dissertation
TBD
Phd Dissertation
The so-called activity-based approach to analysis of human interaction within social and physical environments dates back to the original time-space geography works of Hagerstrand and his colleagues at the Lund School in 1970, with a unique kernel problem termed “household activity scheduling”. The problem attempts to derive estimates of activity decisions taking into account the time, duration, mode, location and route of the given activity sets performed by individuals. This dissertation research studies the activity scheduling/rescheduling problem under an uncertain environment. Theories and models for predicting activity-travel behavior are developed within the context of an activity-based approach built on the general consensus that the demand for travel is derived from a need or desire to participate in activities. Computationally-tractable systems are developed that inherently incorporate factors of uncertainty that can potentially increase the ability to address the household activity scheduling problem and the related dynamics of human movement required for social interaction and household sustenance. A stochastic mixed integer linear program is formulated to model travel behavior in which each activity of the prescribed household agenda has a known probability of being completed (or cancelled). Further, a chance-constrained program is proposed to determine the optimal activity/travel pattern when travel time and activity duration are assumed to be stochastically distributed, while the remaining inputs are precisely known. Finally, under the assumption that the activity/travel pattern involves a dynamic decision-making process of rescheduling/adaptations to initial plans subject to unexpected events, a predictive model of activity rescheduling behavior is developed in the form of a mixed integer linear program. The dissertation presents solution methodologies to the proposed models. Data drawn from a comprehensive on-line survey are utilized to verify the proposed activity schedule/reschedule models. Numerical results are presented to demonstrate the performance of the proposed models. Finally, conclusions and directions for future research are summarized.
working paper
Computational resources in the traffic operation field as well as the bandwidth of field communication links, are often quite limited. Accordingly, for real-time implementation of Advanced Transportation Management and Information Systems (ATMIS) strategies, such as vehicle reidentification, there is strong interest in development of field-based techniques and models that can perform satisfactorily while minimizing computational and communication requirements in the field. The ILD (Inductive Loop Detector)-based Vehicle ReIDentification system (ILD-VReID) is an example of a currently applied approach. Although ILDs are not without limitations as a traffic sensor, they are widely used for historical reasons and the sunken investment in the large installed base makes their use in this research highly cost-effective. Therefore, this dissertation develops a new vehicle reidentification algorithm, RTREID-2, for real-time implementation by adopting a PSR (Piecewise Slope Rate) approach that extracts features from raw vehicle signature data. The results of cases studies indicate that RTREID-2 is capable of accurately providing individual vehicle tracking information and performance measurements such as travel time and speed. The potential contributions of RTREID-2 are: application to square and round single loop configurations, and reduced computational requirements because re-estimation or transferability of the speed models used in the previously developed approach is not necessary. As a consequence, RTREID-2 is free of site-specific calibration and transferability issues. A freeway corridor study also demonstrates that RTREID-2 has the potential to be implemented successfully in a congested freeway corridor, utilizing data obtained from both homogenous and heterogeneous loop detection systems. A real-time vehicle classification model, which is based on the PSR approach, was also developed on the part of RTREID-2. The classification model can successfully classify vehicles into 15 classes using single loop detector data without any explicit axle information. The initial results also suggest the potential for transferability of the vehicle classification approach and are very encouraging. To investigate real-time freeway performance measurement in a realworld setting, the design of a RTPMS (Real-time Traffic Performance Measurement System) that is based on RTREID-2 is also presented in this dissertation. A simulation of RTPMS is conducted to evaluate its feasibility. The simulation results demonstrate the potential of implementing RTPMS in real world applications.
working paper
A big segment of the traffic signal control systems in California and United States are closed-loop systems. Because wide-scale deployment of advanced adaptive control systems may be many years away due to the associated high costs, there is a significant need to improve the effectiveness of the state-of-the-practice closed-loop systems. To address the need, this project focuses on: 1) developing an integrated micro-simulation/signal optimization tool to enhance the capability of generating efficient signal timing plans, and 2) developing a systematic approach to make closed-loop systems be more robust and traffic responsive.
An integrated simulation/signal optimization tool can generate, evaluate and fine tune signal timing plans in a cohesive manner. This report presents an approach for integrating Paramics with Synchro and TRANSYT-7F. Two sets of Paramics plug-ins are developed to facilitate the two-way data conversion between Paramics and Synchro or TRANSYT-7F. The first set of plug-ins read Paramics network data and traffic volume data and generate Synchro or TRANSYT-7F data files while the second transfer optimized signal timing data back to Paramics. These tools may assist traffic engineers in developing efficient signal timing plans for arterial traffic operations. Step-by-step tutorials are also included in the report to teach how to use the new plug-ins.
The advancement and deployment of telecommunication and ITS technologies make traffic and signal status data more readily available. These high-resolution data provide opportunities to allow closed-loop control systems to operate more adaptively and robustly to the changes in traffic demands and patterns. This report presents a systematic approach to make use of traffic and signal data to further improve the control performance of closed-loop systems. The systematic approach includes three components: timing, monitoring, and fine-tuning. For timing, two innovative models are developed to generate robust optimal signal timings that are less sensitive to fluctuations of traffic flows at the same time minimizing the mean of the delays per vehicle across all possible realizations of uncertain traffic flows. Another procedure is proposed to optimally determine time-of-day intervals for time-of-day controls based on a large set of archived traffic data. For monitoring, a prototype signal performance monitoring system is developed to report performance measures of signal control operations and help traffic operation staffs make the decision whether a retiming or fine-tuning effort is needed or not. Finally, for fine-tuning, an offset refiner is introduced to fine tune signal offsets to provide smoother progression in either one-way or two-way coordination. The offset refiner is easy to implement, and could be run periodically or together with the performance monitoring system. If the signal performance degrades, the refiner can be called to fine-tune the offsets for better progression.
working paper
This paper investigates the costs of controlling some of the environmental impacts of motor vehicle transportation on groundwater and on surface waters. We estimate that annualized costs of cleaning-up leaking underground storage tanks range from $0.8 billion to $2.1 billion per year over ten years. Annualized costs of controlling highway runoff from principal arterials in the US are much larger: they range from $2.9 billion to $15.6 billion per year over 20 years (1.6% to 8.3% of annualized highway transportation expenditures.) Some causes of non-point source pollution were unintentionally created by regulations or could be addressed by simple design changes of motor vehicles. A review of applicable measures suggests that effective policies should combine economic incentives, information campaigns, and enforcement, coupled with preventive environmental measures. In general, preventing water pollution from motor vehicles would be much cheaper than cleaning it up.
working paper
In this paper, using data from 366 households we study human interaction within and outside the household. In the analysis altruism and companionship between men and women are explored using path analysis to identify gender-roles and mutual influences. Men and women have very different templates of time allocation characterized by lack of symmetry in relationships between men and women. Although women’s time allocation has some influence on men’s time allocation, it may function as a constraint only when women engage in activities for a considerable amount of time in a day. In contrast, men’s influence is significant and substantial at any level of time allocation. Regarding the relationship between altruism and companionship, men appear to be “rationing” their time and allocate time either to relatives or to others. Women appear to be more fully engaged with relatives and with others (presumably functioning as the social network hubs of the household). Finally, travel is not emerging as a cause but as an outcome supporting once again the practice in activity-based models of considering travel demand as derived from the need to participate in activities. It should also be noted that travel is a very small fraction of the total daily time allocation and does not function as a constraint in budgeting time for activities with and for relatives and other persons. A clear hierarchy also emerges from the path model developed here with blocks of variables determining other blocks of variables in a sequence.
Phd Dissertation
The aviation industry has sought to address the negative externality of aircraft noise using a variety of approaches, but there has been little theoretical work to date encompassing both the market implications and the social optimality of air transportation noise policy. This dissertation develops simple theoretical models to analyze the effects of noise regulation on an airline’s scheduling, aircraft ‘quietness’, and airfare choices. Monopolistic and duopolistic airline competition are modelled, and two types of noise limits are considered: maximum cumulative noise from aircraft operations and noise per aircraft operation. As expected, tighter noise limits, which reduce community exposure to noise, also cause airlines to reduce service frequency and raise fares, which hurts consumers. Welfare analysis investigates the social optimality of noise regulation, taking into account the social cost of exposing airport communities to noise damage, as well as consumer surplus and airline profit. Numerical simulations show that the type of noise limit has a significant effect on the magnitude of the first-best and second-best optimal solutions for service frequency, cumulative noise, and aircraft size and level of quietness. Furthermore, the numerical analyses suggest that under the more realistic second-best case, the cumulative noise limit might be a preferable policy instrument over the per-aircraft noise limit. In the monopoly’s parameter space exploration, welfare is found to be slightly higher, cumulative noise is lower, and the fare is slightly lower when the planner controls cumulative noise rather than per-aircraft noise. In the duopoly case, when the per-aircraft limit yields greater welfare than the cumulative limit, the per-aircraft limit offers only modest welfare gains above the levels achieved with the cumulative limit. But when the cumulative limit yields greater welfare than the per-aircraft limit, the cumulative limit offers substantial welfare gains above the levels achieved with the per-aircraft limit. The effects of noise taxation and the optimal level of noise taxes are also investigated with the duopoly model; the analysis shows equivalence between noise taxation and the cumulative noise limit.
working paper
The California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) is developing a virtual weigh and compliance system (VWCS) for better commercial vehicle monitoring and weight enforcement. The objective of this synthesis is to document recent efforts and technologies associated with the automated monitoring and enforcement of commercial vehicles and to present the current state of the practice in dealing with overweight vehicle enforcement using advanced weigh-in-motion (WIM) technologies.
research report
This report presents a summary of research and development focusing on the prototype deployment and evaluation of an Advanced Transportation Management Systems (ATMS) Testbed. Located in Orange County, California, the Testbed, which is based on real-time, computer-assisted traffic management and communication, is designed to: 1) accelerate deployment through advanced technology research; 2) demonstrate the readiness of advanced systems; and 3) implement and evaluate operations of an integrated multi-jurisdictional, multi-agency transportation operations system. The transportation operations system that forms the backbone of the Testbed is structured to provide intelligent computer-assisted decision support to traffic management personnel by integrating network-wide traffic information in a real-time environment. This study identified research activities that, accompanied by Testbed support, might lead to candidate products for deployment. The work accomplished is divided into three primary categories: 1) Testbed Resources/Technical Assistance/ Management; 2) Testbed Deployment; and 3) Testbed Research and Development.
working paper
Communities are traditionally built with one transportation mode and user in mind—the adult automobile driver. Recently, however, there has been an international focus on the trip to school as an opportunity to enhance children’s independent active travel. Several factors must be considered when designing programs to promote walking and bicycling. This paper examined the influence of child sex on caregivers’ decisions about travel mode choice to school.
Caregivers of children in grades three to five from ten California Safe Routes to School communities were surveyed on their child’s normal travel mode to school and factors that determined travel decisions. Results indicate that the odds of walking and bicycling to school are 40 percent lower in girls than boys; however, this relationship is significantly moderated by the caregiver’s own walking behavior. The findings suggest that programs that focus on increasing children’s active travel to school should consider multiple influences on health behavior, including the neighborhood physical activity of parents.