Potential impacts of teleworking on household travel

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

April 1, 2022 - March 30, 2023

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

Teleworking, also known as ‘working from home’, is increasingly becoming a common work arrangement due to the wide penetration of telecommunications and information technologies in the job sector. Due to the current outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic and its subsequent travel restrictions, teleworking has turned out to be more important than ever. Telework is an effective tool to achieve planning and policy objectives of travel demand management and environmental management such as reducing travel and greenhouse gas emissions. However, the empirical evidence of the impacts of teleworking in the reduction of vehicle miles-traveled and associated environmental impacts remains inconclusive. Thus, our research goal is to refine the relationship between telework and travel with a particular focus on California. We will perform the following three tasks: (1) analyze the intra-household interactions in activity-travel participation between teleworkers and other household members; (2) compare travel and associated VMT between teleworker and commuter households; and (3) investigate the potential impacts of telework on household travel in both metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas. Two large data sources, the 2017 National Household Travel Survey collected for California (NHTS-CA add-on) the EPA Smart Location dataset will be used to conduct the planned analysis. This research is expected to provide important insights on the efficacy of telework as an effective travel demand management strategy as well as an environmental management tool.

Telecommuting and the Open Future

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

August 1, 2021 - June 30, 2023

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Department(s)

Urban Planning and Public Policy

Project Summary

The COVID-19 pandemic has generated renewed interest in how telecommuting can alter the workings of cities and regions, but there is little guidance on how to align planning practice with the new reality. Shelter-at-home policies forced businesses to rapidly develop a telework infrastructure to continue their operations to the extent possible. In the wake of the pandemic, the prevalence of telecommuting has become the new normal, although this varies across industries. New questions arise from this rapid technological adoption. How will telecommuting growth affect cities? Should planners be worried about telecommuting growth? How should planners deal with this proliferation?

This report synthesizes the research on telecommuting and its consequences to help planners better understand what effects may occur from the proliferation of telecommuting and what lessons can be drawn from research findings. Emphasis is on the broad relevance of telecommuting to many domains of planning, including housing, land use, community development, and inclusive place-making, while attention is paid to changes in travel demand, vehicle miles traveled (VMT), and greenhouse gas emissions. The research suggests that telecommuting can occur in a variety of ways, and its impacts are largely dependent not only on the type/schedule of telecommuting but on the built environment, transit accessibility, and other amenities/opportunities the location provides. The varying impacts reported in the research can be seen as an encouragement for planners to actively create a better future rather than merely responding to the rise of telecommuting. Given the breadth of telecommuting’s impacts, systematic coordination across various planning domains will be increasingly important. This report also calls for collaboration across cities to guide the ongoing transformation induced by telecommuting not in a way that leads to more residential segregation but in a way that provides more sustainable and inclusive communities.

Telework Trends in California: Before, During, and Possibly After the Pandemic

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

April 1, 2022 - June 30, 2023

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

Forced by the COVID-19 pandemic and enabled by technology improvements, telework has received a big boost over the past 15 months. In addition to reducing vehicle miles traveled (VMT), decreasing energy use, and lowering emissions of both air pollutants and of greenhouse gases, telecommuting has numerous potential co-benefits, including saving time (from commuting) and money (on gas and parking), increasing schedule flexibility, potentially improving work-life balance, and reducing stress (Gajendran and Harrison, 2007). To understand the extent to which telecommuting could increase because of the pandemic, this project will analyze a unique dataset on commuting and telework collected during a May-June 2021 random survey of Californians conducted by IPSOS. In addition, the research will quantify changes in VMT and in the resulting emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases. Quantifying recent changes in telecommuting is important to update sustainable community strategies and for understanding the likely contribution of telecommuting in meeting California’s GHG reduction targets.

Assessing the Potential for Densification and Reduction of Vehicle Miles Traveled in Areas Without Rail

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

June 21, 2022 - October 31, 2023

Principal Investigator

Project Summary

While transportation infrastructure and efficiency should inform where to build more housing, little is known about how housing allocation and development processes can be coordinated more systematically with transportation. To date, transportation-housing coordination has often relied on the densification of areas near rail transit stations, putting heavy
burdens on these locations and their residents. Much less attention has been paid to how densification can be achieved in a more equitable manner by encompassing other sites.

This research seeks to better understand equity issues and other challenges that may arise in pursuing transportation-informed densification. The research includes two components: 1) a scenario analysis of the potential impacts of SB 743 that highlights equity concerns, as well as difficulties in identifying low vehicle miles traveled locations, and 2) a qualitative, in-depth investigation, including interviews with policy experts, creators, implementers, and advocates that explore ways to achieve more inclusive densification of non-rail transit areas, which have long been neglected in the literature. Overall, the findings suggest that transportation-informed densification is a challenging process, and this is particularly true when it comes to implementation and inclusive place-making. More needs to be known about how densification can take place in a way that promotes diversity, equity, and inclusion rather than causing disproportionate impacts on disadvantaged communities and their residents.

Rail Transit Ridership in California: Lessons Learned from Station Area Assessments

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

February 22, 2022 - December 31, 2023

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

Emerging evidence shows that rail transit ridership has recuperated unevenly—at different rates in different places—as California has emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic. Stations that serve central business districts, for example, show slower gains in rail transit passengers compared to stations with mixed income residents and mixed uses in suburban locations. It is not yet clear what is causing this difference, but this disparity signals that post-COVID ridership will be different from what was observed in the past, and some station areas will likely need to develop strategies that account for this new reality.

This study examines how various characteristics (e.g., land use, development density, the pedestrian environment) affect transit ridership pre- and post-COVID and how they differ across station types based on longitudinal data for 242 rail stations belonging to Bay Area Rapid Transit, San Diego Metropolitan Transit System, Sacramento Regional Transit, and LA Metro between 2019 and 2021. Key findings include an overall 72% decrease in station-level ridership, but changes were not uniform. Station areas with a higher number of low-income workers and more retail or entertainment jobs tend to have lower ridership declines, while areas with a large number of high-income workers, high-wage jobs, and higher job accessibility by transit had more ridership losses.

Streamlining the CEQA Process in Transit Rich Areas

Status

In Progress

Project Timeline

June 14, 2022 - March 31, 2024

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Urban Planning and Public Policy

Project Summary

California faces major policy challenges that stem in part from decades of planning for automobility. For one, the state cannot meet its ambitious decarbonization targets without reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the transportation sector, which produces nearly 40 percent of California’s emissions. Substantial reductions in vehicle miles traveled (VMT) are likely needed to meet the state’s climate change goals. In addition, the state is mired in a historic housing supply and affordability crisis. It ranks 49th in the United States in housing units per capita. It needs millions more units to meet demand, including 1.3 million more affordable rental units, according to one estimate. Transit oriented development (TOD), with denser housing around transit hubs, can solve both challenges—reducing driving and producing more housing. However, TOD is often difficult to achieve in practice. One frequently cited roadblock to TOD is the environmental review process under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), which can add considerable time, cost, and uncertainty to TOD plans and developments. There have been numerous attempts to exempt or provide a streamlined CEQA review process for TOD projects, including through Senate Bill (SB) 375 projects (and infill developments generally). These efforts are often “criticized for layering on so many project level restrictions that no developments succeed in meeting all the eligibility requirements.” However, there is limited empirical research on how frequently the provisions have actually been used or how successful they have been at streamlining the entitlement process for TOD projects.

This research project will explore the use and effect of the two CEQA streamlining provisions in SB 375 for TOD projects. One provision exempts qualifying transit priority projects (TPPs) from CEQA review entirely (Public Resources Code § 21155.1). The other provision streamlines CEQA review for qualifying TPPs (Public Resources Code § 21155.2). The researchers will catalog projects that have utilized these provisions, identify projects that likely could have taken advantage of SB 375 CEQA streamlining but did not, and interview planners and developers involved with a subset of both sets of projects. The outcome will be an in-depth exploration of how much SB 375 streamlining actually helps reduce the time, cost, and uncertainty of permitting TOD projects, and how it could be improved to better meet those goals.

Linking Statewide and Regional Travel Models to Estimate Interregional Travel Impacts in California

Status

In Progress

Project Timeline

October 1, 2016 - June 30, 2024

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs) use regional travel forecasting models to estimate vehicle trips (VT), average speeds, and vehicle miles traveled (VMT), which serve in turn as input to regional emission models. Interregional travel is not usually part of MPO models, but it is explicitly part of statewide models. The California Statewide Travel Demand Model (CSTDM) is an activity-based model that produces statewide origin-destination trip tables for assignment to the statewide network. Consistency tests, however, suggest that there are significant deviations between link counts from the CSTDM and those from regional models, as measured at defined cordon stations. These trip counts are, by definition, interregional travel – travel that is typically generated within a region but with performance impacts in another region or in areas not formally part of a defined region.

The proposed project seeks to develop and test methods to synchronize the travel forecasting results of the CSTDM with regional travel forecasting models, with the objective of better estimating interregional travel and greenhouse gas emissions in California. Whether trip-, tour-, or activity-based, CSTDM and all current regional models apply conventional trip assignment as the last step in the modeling process. From the perspective of potential policies to address performance impacts, this study will resolve how regions and the state properly account for the relative proportion of interregional travel and the associated travel impacts. The methodological problem is to synchronize the assigned and validated cordon counts produced by regional models with those generated as part of assignment in the CSTDM. Techniques to modify origin-destination trip tables exist but applications above the local area have been rare. The CSTDM trip tables will be updated to reflect the assigned counts at defined MPO cordon stations. At least two methods will be tested using Caltrans’ Performance Measurement System (PeMS) data with CSTDM trip tables and using MPO cordon estimates with CSTDM trips tables. Each method will be evaluated, with one selected for final application based on its consistency across all model levels and data sources.

Analyzing Telecommuting and Travel in California Before, During, and After the Pandemic

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

April 1, 2022 - June 30, 2024

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted day-to-day business and triggered massive changes in travel behavior for work and other activities. Due to social distance and travel restrictions imposed during the pandemic, teleworking has become much more prominent: a survey estimated that between February and May 2020, over one-third of the American labor force switched from in-person work to telework. The Census Pulse Survey (2020-2021) reported that 40% of households in California indicated that at least one household member substituted in-person work with telework (compared to the US national average of 37%). The pandemic provides a unique opportunity to examine the potential impacts of teleworking on travel and measure the potential effectiveness of this work arrangement as a travel demand and environmental management tool.

This study examines changes in telecommuting and the resulting activity-travel behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic, with a particular focus on California. A geographical approach was taken to “zoom in” to the county level and to major regions in California and to “zoom out” to comparable states (New York, Texas, Florida). Nearly one-third of the domestic workforce worked from home during the pandemic, a rate almost six times higher than the pre-pandemic level. At least one member from 35 percent of U.S. households replaced in-person work with telework; these individuals tended to belong to higher income, White, and Asian households. Workplace visits have continued to remain below pre-pandemic levels, but visits to non-work locations initially declined but gradually increased over the first nine months of the pandemic. During this period, the total number of trips in all distance categories except long-distance travel decreased considerably. Among the selected states, California experienced a higher reduction in both work and non-workplace visits and the State’s urban counties had higher reductions in workplace visits than rural counties. The findings of this study provide insights to improve understanding of the impact of telecommuting on travel behavior during the pandemic.

Transportation Equity and Justice Through Community-Driven Planning: Lessons from California’s San Joaquin Valley

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

October 1, 2022 - June 30, 2024

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Gregg Macey

Department(s)

Urban Planning and Public Policy

Project Summary

Addressing the disparate impacts of climate change requires a better understanding of how the transportation sector can integrate community-driven processes and solutions into plans and programs in collaboration with public agencies and other stakeholders. The Community Air Protection Program, administered by the California Air Resources Board (CARB), provides a valuable case study of the promise and challenge of improving transportation equity through community-led planning efforts. Since its launch in 2018, CARB has selected 17 disadvantaged communities to develop community air monitoring plans (CAMPs) and/or community emissions reduction plans (CERPs) as directed by Assembly Bill 617 (AB 617). Although transportation emission sources feature prominently in CAMPs and CERPs (e.g., freight transport, zero-emission technologies, alternative modes), AB 617 evaluation studies have not investigated the role that transportation concerns played in community selection, goal setting, and outcome assessment. This project will conduct a retrospective evaluation of equity principles and processes employed in the selection, development, and implementation of CAMPs and CERFs in four San Joaquin Valley communities. The study will focus on communities that took part in a process led by the Central Valley Air Quality Coalition to nominate a subset of 40 communities to participate in air monitoring and emissions reduction planning through AB 617. The research team will consider the role of transportation infrastructure, emissions, and related authorities, policies, and practices as communities moved from pre-selection to design, approval, and implementation of monitoring and emissions reduction plans. The team will engage in semi-structured interviews and focus groups, content analysis and archival and interview data, legal analysis, and geospatial analysis of regulatory and community-deployed monitoring and inventory data.

Evaluating the Travel Behavior Impacts of Los Angeles Metro’s K-14 Fareless Initiative

Status

In Progress

Project Timeline

October 1, 2022 - June 30, 2024

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Project Summary

In October 2021, the Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation, or LA Metro (the largest transit agency in Los Angeles County), launched the GoPass Fareless pilot program in collaboration with other regional transit operators and multiple school districts across the county. The program offers free transit passes to K-14 students. Students attending eligible schools may enroll in the program by receiving a card from their school and registering it online. Participation in the program is decided by school districts, who opt in by paying a cost-sharing fee of $3 per student per year. While other student fareless programs have been attempted and some others remain in service—including the DASH to Class program which offers free rides on the City of Los Angeles’s DASH service and has been active since 2019—the scale of LA Metro’s program provides a unique opportunity to assess the ability of a large-scale program to change travel behavior among participating students. This project will 1) analyze the differences in student enrollment in the GoPass fareless program among eligible schools based on socio-economic characteristics and access to existing transit services; 2) assess how the program has impacted ridership at Metro-operated bus stops near schools in the weekday morning and afternoon peak hours; and 3) identify individual characteristics that influence students’ trip generation and mode choices for school and other trips. The project will survey Los Angeles United School District (LAUSD) high school students about their current school, work, extracurricular travel activities, and availability of household mobility devices compared to their travel behavior before joining the program.