working paper

The Use of Alternative Specific Constants in Choice Modeling

Publication Date

December 1, 1978

Author(s)

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-78-11

Abstract

A specification issue which has been handled differently in various empirical applications is whether or not to include alternative specific constants in models of choice behavior. Some applications have excluded constants, others have included a full set of constants, and a third class of examples uses unique constants for some alternatives, but not all. In logit models in which each individual has the same set of alterna tives, the exclusion of constants in the estimation of models when the correct model actually has alternative specific effects leads to inconsistent estimates of the coefficients of the remaining independent variables. However, the inclusion of constants when no such effects exist does not affect the consistency of the estimates of the coefficients. These results are illustrated by simple hypothetical examples and by empirical examples. When nonratio scale variables are used in logit models, the coefficients of the independent variables are not invariant under arbitrary scale shifts when alternative specific constants are excluded. Finally, the use of models to predict the response to new alternatives and the transferability of models which might or might not include alternative specific effects is discussed. The major conclusion is that the inclusion of: a full set of alternative specific constants in logit models estimated with large samples is generally preferred over the exclusion of one or more alternative specific constants.

Suggested Citation
Timothy J. Tardiff (1978) The Use of Alternative Specific Constants in Choice Modeling. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-78-11. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5j43q8mj.

published journal article

Corrigendum to “Exposure to air pollutant mixture and gestational diabetes mellitus in Southern California: Results from electronic health record data of a large pregnancy Cohort” [Environ. Int. 158 (2022) 106888]

Environment International

Publication Date

May 1, 2022

Author(s)

Yi Sun, Xia Li, Tarik Benmarhnia, Jiu-Chiuan Chen, Chantal Avila, David A. Sacks, Vicki Chiu, Jeff Slezak, John Molitor, Darios Getahun, Jun Wu
Suggested Citation
Yi Sun, Xia Li, Tarik Benmarhnia, Jiu-Chiuan Chen, Chantal Avila, David A. Sacks, Vicki Chiu, Jeff Slezak, John Molitor, Darios Getahun and Jun Wu (2022) “Corrigendum to “Exposure to air pollutant mixture and gestational diabetes mellitus in Southern California: Results from electronic health record data of a large pregnancy Cohort” [Environ. Int. 158 (2022) 106888]”, Environment International, 163, p. 107207. Available at: 10.1016/j.envint.2022.107207.

research report

Development of a Path Flow Estimator for Deriving Steady-State and Time-Dependent Origin-Destination Trip Tables

Abstract

The origin-destination (O-D) trip table is a key input required for traffic assignment and simulation models utilized to analyze a wide variety of transportation applications. The main goal of this research is to develop an economical and quick method for estimating O-D trip tables from traffic counts. Path flow estimator (PFE), originally developed by Bell and Shield (1995), has been further developed to improve the reliability and efficiency of O-D trip table estimates. The research reported herein includes only the development of the steady-state O-D estimator. In this study, the original PFE model was carefully examined in several aspects to gain more insight for further improvements. Currently, the PFE has been successfully applied to estimate the steady-state O-D trip tables for the Irvine Testbed network in Orange County, California as well as some other real networks. The primary results demonstrate that PFE has the capability to correctly estimate the total and individual O-D demands when proper information is provided. They also indicate that the number and locations of traffic counts significantly influence the quality of O-D estimates as each observation contributes different amount and quality of information.  The most difficult task observed thus far is the estimation of spatial pattern of O-D demands even when traffic counts were collected on all network links.  These issues and the development of time-dependent PFE will be investigated in the second phase under Task Order 5502.

Suggested Citation
Anthony Chen, Piya Chootinan, Will Recker and H. Michael Zhang (2004) Development of a Path Flow Estimator for Deriving Steady-State and Time-Dependent Origin-Destination Trip Tables. Final Report UCB-ITS-PRR-2004-29. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8q85121w.

published journal article

Continuum car-following model of capacity drop at sag and tunnel bottlenecks

Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies

Publication Date

April 1, 2020

Author(s)

Kentaro Wada, Irene Martinez, Wenlong Jin

Abstract

Sags and tunnels are major bottlenecks, where the road capacity is reduced, and the “capacity drop” phenomenon occurs; however, there is no simple model or theory that can explain the formation and other characteristics of capacity drop. This paper presents a car-following model, which is equivalent to a continuum model in the Lagrangian coordinates. The model is built on two main assumptions: (i) inhomogeneous fundamental diagrams with location-dependent time gaps, and (ii) bounded acceleration. We first demonstrate that the stationary speed profiles, the low acceleration rates, the dropped capacity, and the approximate time duration of the capacity drop formation in the model are consistent with empirical observations. Then the impacts on the stationary states and dropped capacity of the numerical viscosity caused by the discretization method are investigated, and it is shown that the dropped capacity converges to the theoretical value. Further, a one-dimensional iterated function system is proposed to model the formation mechanism of the capacity drop, which is derived by investigating the spatial pattern of equilibrium and bounded acceleration traffic states that arises in a lead-vehicle problem. Utilizing this model, we uncover a set of properties of the capacity drop such as existence, uniqueness, global convergence, and convergence speed. Finally, the model is applied to analyze the impacts of heterogeneous drivers. The model and insights in this study will help to develop control and management schemes to alleviate capacity drop effects with connected and autonomous vehicles in the future.

Suggested Citation
Kentaro Wada, Irene Martínez and Wen-Long Jin (2020) “Continuum car-following model of capacity drop at sag and tunnel bottlenecks”, Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 113, pp. 260–276. Available at: 10.1016/j.trc.2019.05.012.

research report

A Literature Review: Improving How Active Transportation Demand is Modeled and Evaluated

Abstract

Local transportation agencies typically rely on traditional travel demand forecasting models that focus on highway and roadway improvements to optimize vehicular traffic. These models are not equipped to evaluate active transportation strategies which align with current State of California policies such as reducing vehicle miles traveled to cut greenhouse gas emissions and fostering active transportation modes. In this context, ITS at UC Irvine (ITS Irvine) was invited by Orange County Transportation Authority (OCTA) to propose, develop, and apply an approach to better model active transportation. This report represents the first phase of this work, which is a review of the recent literature on how to model demand for active transportation and an examination of OCTAM’s (OCTA’s own regional travel demand model) Active Transportation (AT) modeling tool to evaluate its potential for modification or incorporation into a new active transportation model.The following observations/suggestions are offered in this report: First, that OCTAM AT does not include variables that could impact people’s decision to leave their vehicles at home in favor of transit. Second, a number of conditions need to be jointly met for people to walk or bike. Third, OCTAM AT does not capture residential self-selection, which could be important here as people who do not plan to walk/bike self-select into car-oriented neighborhoods.

Suggested Citation
Pierre Auza, Daniel Chong and Jean-Daniel Saphores (2017) A Literature Review: Improving How Active Transportation Demand is Modeled and Evaluated. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/34b7d61h (Accessed: October 11, 2023).

policy brief

Can Plug-in Electric Vehicles in a Smart Grid Improve Resiliency?

Publication Date

February 1, 2021

Abstract

While the impact of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) on electricity generation and transmission has been studied extensively, the impact of PEVs on the resiliency of the local electricity distribution system has not been addressed in detail. Understanding resiliency impacts is important as the increased use of PEVs, and especially the clustering of PEVs in one area (such as a neighborhood), place additional pressures on already aging power grid infrastructure. As an example, charging a large population of PEVs during normal operations can stress system components (such as transformers) resulting in accelerated aging or even failure, which reduces resiliency of the system. On the other hand, PEVs can also increase system resiliency. When connected to the grid, PEVs are an energy resource that can provide electricity for critical services (such as community shelters) during grid outages and facilitate grid restoration by providing electricity to support the restart of transformers and other utility assets.

Suggested Citation
Ghazal Razeghi and G. Scott Samuelsen (2021) Can Plug-in Electric Vehicles in a Smart Grid Improve Resiliency?. Policy Brief. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9wg2x1jn (Accessed: October 11, 2023).

published journal article

Can Boosting Minority Car-Ownership Rates Narrow Inter-Racial Employment Gaps?

Brookings-Wharton Papers on Urban Affairs

Publication Date

January 1, 2001

Author(s)

Steven Raphael, Michael A. Stoll, Kenneth Small, Clifford Winston
Suggested Citation
Steven Raphael, Michael A. Stoll, Kenneth A. Small and Clifford Winston (2001) “Can Boosting Minority Car-Ownership Rates Narrow Inter-Racial Employment Gaps?”, Brookings-Wharton Papers on Urban Affairs, pp. 99–145. Available at: https://www.jstor.org/stable/25058784.

conference paper

Precise UAV navigation with cellular carrier phase measurements

2018 IEEE/ION position, location and navigation symposium (PLANS)

Publication Date

April 1, 2018
Suggested Citation
Joe Khalife and Zaher M. Kassas (2018) “Precise UAV navigation with cellular carrier phase measurements”, in 2018 IEEE/ION position, location and navigation symposium (PLANS). IEEE, pp. 978–989. Available at: 10.1109/plans.2018.8373476.

published journal article

Using Microscopic Simulation to Evaluate Potential Intelligent Transportation System Strategies Under Nonrecurrent Congestion

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Publication Date

January 1, 2004

Abstract

A microsimulation method is presented for evaluating the effectiveness of potential intelligent transportation system (ITS) strategies under nonrecurrent congestion. The evaluated ITS strategies include incident management, adaptive ramp metering, traveler information systems, arterial management, and a combination of those strategies. These strategies are implemented and evaluated over a road network in Irvine, California, with the microsimulation model PARAMICS. The evaluation results show that all ITS strategies have positive effects on network performance. Because of the network topology (one major freeway with two parallel arterial streets), real-time traveler information has the greatest benefits among all single ITS strategies. However, a combination of ITS strategies can further increase benefits.

Suggested Citation
Lianyu Chu, Henry X. Liu and Will Recker (2004) “Using Microscopic Simulation to Evaluate Potential Intelligent Transportation System Strategies Under Nonrecurrent Congestion”, Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1886(1), pp. 76–84. Available at: 10.3141/1886-10.

research report

Efficient Mobility Portfolio schemes for Integrated, Intermodal, and Incentivized Shared Transportation

Suggested Citation
R. Jayakrishnan, Daisik Nam and Sunghi An (2020) Efficient Mobility Portfolio schemes for Integrated, Intermodal, and Incentivized Shared Transportation. Research Report. ITS-Irvine. Available at: https://www.metrans.org/assets/research/psr-report_efficient-mobility-portfolio_final-draft-021023%20(2).pdf.