Phd Dissertation

Markovian decision control for traffic signal systems

Abstract

A typical urban traffic network is a very complicated large-scale stochastic system which consists of many interconnected signalized traffic intersections. Setting signals at intersections so that the traffic in such a network flows efficiently is a key goal in traffic management. The conventional traffic signal control algorithms assume the traffic system is deterministic; most of them use data aggregation, instead of a mathematical model, and apply off-line, heuristic control strategies which do not respond to the fluctuations of the traffic flows in the network. In this dissertation, the traffic signal control problem is formulated as a decision-making problem for a stochastic dynamical system. Based on Markovian decision theory, a new decentralized optimal control strategy with the embedded platoon dispersion model is developed to minimize the queue length and the steady state delay of traffic networks. A rolling horizon algorithm is also employed to achieve real-time adaptive traffic signal control. Statistical analysis of the computer simulation results for this approach indicates significant improvement over the traditional fully actuated control, especially under the conditions of high, but not saturated, traffic demand.

working paper

Road Pricing for Congestion Management: The Transition from Theory to Policy

Publication Date

January 1, 1998

Author(s)

Abstract

Traffic congestion is a classic externality, especially pervasive in urban areas. The theoretical and empirical relationships governing it have been thoroughly studied. As a result, most urban economists and a growing number of other policy analysts agree that the best policy to deal with it would be some form of congestion pricing. Such a policy involves charging a substantial fee for operating a motor vehicle at times and places where there is insufficient road capacity to easily accommodate demand. The intention is to alter people’s travel behavior enough to reduce congestion.

working paper

Measuring Traffic Congestion

Publication Date

January 1, 1998

Abstract

We develop a traffic congestion index using data for California highways from 1976 through 1994. The technique yields a congestion measure which has several advantages. The index developed here can be applied to counties, urbanized areas, highway segments, or other portions of geographic areas or highway networks. The index allows cross-sectional and time series comparisons which have only rarely been possible. Most importantly, the congestion index developed here is based on data which are readily available. We compare our index to others based on Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS) data, and illustrate similarities and differences. We also discuss important issues for future research and data collection efforts which can contribute to more refined congestion measurement.

journal article preprint

A Deep-Learning Approach to Detect and Classify Heavy-Duty Trucks in Satellite Images

Abstract

Heavy-duty trucks serve as the backbone of the supply chain and have a tremendous effect on the economy. However, they severely impact the environment and public health. This study presents a novel truck detection framework by combining satellite imagery with Geographic Information System (GIS)-based OpenStreetMap data to capture the distribution of heavy-duty trucks and shipping containers in both on-road and off-road locations with extensive spatial coverage. The framework involves modifying the CenterNet detection algorithm to detect randomly oriented trucks in satellite images and enhancing the model through ensembling with Mask RCNN, a segmentation-based algorithm. GIS information refines and improves the model’s prediction results. Applied to part of Southern California, including the Port of Los Angeles and Long Beach, the framework helps assess the environmental impact of heavy-duty trucks in port-adjacent communities and understand truck density patterns along major freight corridors. This research has implications for policy, practice, and future research.

research report

Risk Assessment for Security Threats and Vulnerabilities of Autonomous Vehicles

Abstract

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) heavily rely on machine learning-based perception models to accurately interpret their surroundings. However, these crucial perception components are vulnerable to a range of malicious attacks. Even though individual attacks can be highly successful, the actual security risks such attacks can pose to daily life are unclear. Various factors, such as lack of stealthiness, cost-effectiveness, and ease of deployment, can deter potential attackers from employing certain attacks, thereby reducing the actual risk. This research report presents the first quantitative risk assessment for physical adversarial attacks on AVs. The specific focus is on attacks on an AV’s perception components due to their highly critical function and representation in existing research. The report defines the daily-life risk as the likelihood that a given type of attack will be employed in real life and the authors develop a problem-specific risk scoring system and accompanying metrics. The report provides an initial evaluation of the proposed risk assessment method for all the reported attacks on AVs from 2017 to 2023, and quantitatively ranks the daily-life risks posed by each of eight different categories of attacks and find three attacks with the highest risks: 2D printed images, 2D patches, and coated camouflage stickers, which deserve more focused attention for potential future mitigation strategy development and policy making.

working paper

Integrated Ramp Metering Design and Evaluation Platform with Paramics

Abstract

Ramp metering has been recognized as an effective freeway management strategy to either avoid or ameliorate freeway traffic congestion by limiting access to the freeway. California has applied ramp metering widely in major metropolitan areas. Currently, California has three major ramp metering systems: San Diego Ramp Metering System (SDRMS), Semi-Actuated Traffic Management System (SATMS), and Traffic Operations System (TOS). Although the ramp metering algorithms that underlay these systems are based on relatively simple theoretical concepts, these real-world ramp metering systems are significantly complicated by the need to tailor their deployment to handle a variety of conditions.

working paper

Why Do People Drive to Shop? Future Travel and Telecommunications Tradeoffs

Publication Date

January 1, 1998

Abstract

In this study we look at the relationship between shopping and travel trips, especially by car, and ask whether the travel trip has intrinsic value and/or costs for shoppers.

The plan of this paper is as follows: First we establish a baseline about shopping travel, based on recent travel statistics. We then seek, through the transportation and marketing literatures, different approaches to the question of why people travel to stores. This leads us to pose specific hypotheses about shopping-related trips which we then test using activity-based demand modeling. The final sections discuss our results and conclusions. They suggest that the behaviors associated with the adoption of electronic home shopping are complex, and that it is naive to view home shopping as just another channel. Home shopping will not evolve independently of other changes in work, daily routines, and leisure time use.

working paper

Simulating Travel Reliability

Abstract

We present a simulation model designed to determine the impact on congestion of policies for dealing with travel time uncertainty. The model combines a supply side model of congestion delay with a discrete choice econometric demand model that predicts scheduling choices for morning commute trips. The supply model describes congestion technology and exogenously specifies the probability, severity, and duration of non-recurrent events. From these, given traffic volumes, a distribution of travel times is generated, from which a mean, a standard deviation, and a probability of arriving late are calculated. The demand model uses these outputs from the supply model as independent variables and choices are forecast using sample enumeration and a synthetic sample of work start times and free flow travel times. The process is iterated until a stable congestion pattern is achieved. We report on the components of expected cost and the average travel delay for selected simulations.