working paper

Incorporating Yellow-Page Databases in GIS-Based Transportation Models

working paper

Projecting Use of Electric Vehicles from Household Vehicle Trials: Trial and Error?

Abstract

In 1995-96, the authors participated in an eight-month long trial of prototype EVs, with the proviso that we could use some of the results for academic research. We were particularly interested in comparing data collected from trials with matched data collected from a panel survey. Our objective was to better understand vehicle trials as a source of information for transportation planning and market research, beyond the usual consumer preference information gathered for vehicle design purposes. The methodological issues were of particular concern, for as we discuss in the next section, trials provide useful data at one level, but they can also introduce new sources of bias and uncertainty to data collection and interpretation. We also investigated how perceptions towards EVs would change with the “hands-on” experience of a trial. 

In this paper we report findings from this trial, with a particular emphasis upon the methodological issues. We intentionally do not discuss purchase intentions, and focus, instead, upon a broader set of results. An objective is to provide transportation planners with useful data about characteristics like vehicle miles travelled, intra-household vehicle switching, and long trip taking when there are multiple data sources from the same respondents, including travel diaries and pre- and post trial panel survey data. This provides insight into how households might choose to use future electric vehicles, and it also addresses the issue of whether trials are an effective and efficient data collection method. The research is expected to provide useful information for those who wish to organize and interpret data from future consumer vehicle trials and it also provides more limited evidence about how households would use future electric vehicles that had a limited range.

working paper

Does Neighborhood Design Influence Travel? A Behavioral Analysis of Travel Diary and GIS Data

Publication Date

December 31, 1997

Author(s)

Randall Crane, Richard Crepeau

Phd Dissertation

Transportation experiences of suburban older adults: Implications of the loss of driver's license for psychological well-being, health, and mobility

Publication Date

June 29, 1997

Author(s)

Abstract

The number of elderly adults in the United States is growing, and, by the year 2030, it is estimated that 21 percent of the population will be aged 65 and over. Along with the transformation in age structure, the United States has also become suburbanized. Suburbs generally offer few transportation alternatives to the private automobile, and, if older adults age in place, they may face difficulty accessing resources when they stop driving. This study utilized three theoretical perspectives–transitional processes, person-environment fit, and stress and coping–to guide the development of a model for examining how loss of the driver’s license negatively affects psychological well-being, health, and mobility. Sixty-four drivers and sixteen former drivers were interviewed by telephone or in person. Interviews assessed transportation history, well-being, coping strategies, health background, and demographic information. Participants also were asked to draw cognitive maps of their weekly travels, and they completed two questionnaires concerning life stress and driving self-efficacy. Drivers were placed into two groups based on driving patterns and behaviors: modified drivers, who had made substantial changes in their driving patterns (e.g., not driving at night), and regular drivers, who had not made changes in their driving patterns. Results indicate that former drivers have significantly lower levels of well-being than do regular drivers, controlling for age, education level, and number of ailments. Supportive housing was associated with higher levels of life satisfaction for modified and regular drivers but lower life satisfaction for former drivers. Former drivers who had no prior transit experience had much lower life satisfaction than did any other group. While these findings are correlational in nature, they suggest that loss of the license may affect well-being and that some environmental and personal resources may moderate this relationship. Additional research should be conducted to inform policymakers and planners about how older adults living in suburbs may be constrained and adversely affected by the loss of access to the private automobile. Meeting the needs of older adults through transportation and telecommunication technology should also be examined.

journal article preprint

Shopping Without Travel or Travel Without Shopping? An Investigation of Electronic Home Shopping

Abstract

This study explores the growth of electronic home shopping in terms of likely transportation and communication interactions. Although opportunities exist to shop from home today, most consumers initiate travel trips to stores or markets. Widespread use of automobiles has facilitated the retailing configurations we know today but the development of new electronic networks could change this. This study establishes a baseline to explore shopping activities using two day travel activity data from a large U.S. metropolitan area. It is found that people who telework from home today spend more time engaged in shopping activities than other workers. Potentially, their saved work travel is converted into new trips. In the future, saved shopping travel might be converted into other types of travel, and modelling results show that for busy working women, there is a latent demand for maintenance related activities. The study results suggest that electronic home shopping will bring into play complex interactions between communications and transportation.

working paper

Shopping without Travel or Travel without Shopping? An Investigation of Electronic Home Shopping

Publication Date

May 31, 1997

working paper

Clean Air Forever? A Longitudinal Analysis of Opinions about Air Pollution and Electric Vehicles

Publication Date

May 31, 1997

Abstract

Many current initiatives to develop the electric vehicle depend upon public perception that electric vehicles (EVs) are good for the environment. This study investigates how people acquire information about the environment and EVs, and whether their opinions about environmental efficacy change over time and experience levels. These issues are explored across two data sets. The first data set is a panel survey of California households (n=1718) and environmental opinions are tracked over two waves of survey. A decline in the environmental ethos is associated with several factors, including interpersonal communications and exposure to more specialized media. A sample of households from the panel study were subsequently chosen, among others, to participate in a two-week long trial of EVs (n=69). Opinions about environmental efficacy are studied as users gain first hand knowledge of an EV. Opinions about the environmental efficacy of the EV show improvement, but trial users become less likely to cite the environmental benefit as a reason for choosing the technology, and they do not change their opinions about providing policy incentives.

Phd Dissertation

An activity-based trip generation model

Publication Date

February 28, 1997

Author(s)

book/book chapter

Urban Spatial Structure

Publication Date

February 28, 1997

Author(s)

Richard Arnott, Kenneth Small

Abstract

An interview with Chicago’s current mayor, Richard M. Daley:

‘New York is too big this way,’ the mayor says, raising a thick hand over his head. Stretching both arms out at his sides, he adds, ‘Los Angeles is too big this way. All the other cities are too small. We’re just right.’ (Bailey and Coleman, 1996, p. 6)

Mayor Daley is catering to a widespread fascination with the roles that urban size and structure play in people’s lives. Academic as well as other observers have long sought explanations for urban development patterns and criteria by which to judge their desirability. Furthermore, as we shall see, understanding the organization of cities yields insights about economy-wide growth processes and sheds light on economic concepts of long standing interest: returns to scale, monopolistic competition, vertical integration, technological innovation, innovation diffusion, and international specialization. Cities also are prime illustrations of some newer academic interests such as complex structural evolution and self-organization.