working paper

Designing and Implementing a Panel Study of Commuter Behavior: Lessons for Future Research

Publication Date

January 31, 1993

Abstract

We have been collaborating in a panel study of commuter behavior in southern California which has been running since winter 1990. We were interested in setting up a panel so that we could study the dynamics of commuting behavior, especially in a situation where the environment was changing (with, for example, road construction and new Air Quality Management District (AQMD) regulations). The present paper focuses upon the design and implementation lessons we have learned from this project, leaving substantive and econometric conclusions for other papers (see, e.g., Brownstone and Chu, 1992; Kim, 1992; and Brownstone and Golob, 1992).

The survey instrument involves detailed reporting of the home-work-home trip chain, with summaries of general mobility and alternative choices for a recall period of two weeks. The survey also gathers information on attitudes concerning transportation, perceptions of incentives provided by employers to limit solo driving trips, past experiences with transit and ridesharing, and social, economic, and demographic questions.

Since this project was conceptualized as a pilot study, we have engaged in modifications more freely than we might otherwise. The details of the initial instrument design can be found in Golob and Golob (1989). While we did not carry out formal experimentation, we nonetheless believe that some things worked well while others created unforeseen problems. We discuss, first, construction of the sample, second, efforts to deal with attrition, third, modifications of the instrument, fourth, an attempt to obtain contextual measures, and, fifth, accounting and timing problems.

working paper

Ameliorating Congestion by Income Redistribution

Abstract

Consider a community with individuals who consume a private good and use a congestible facility. Without a congestion fee, use of the congestible facility will exceed the socially optimal level. We show that under some conditions this externality problem can be solved by income redistribution. Indeed, the poor can gain from a redistribution to the rich.

working paper

Pipeline Access and Market Integration in the Natural Gas Industry: Evidence from Cointegration Tests

Publication Date

December 31, 1992

Abstract

This research seeks to determine the extent to which the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s policy of “Open Access” to natural gas pipelines has created competition in natural gas markets. We argue that recently developed cointegration techniques are the natural way to evaluate competition between natural gas spot markets at dispersed points in the national transmission network. We test daily spot prices between 190 market-pairs located in 20 producing fields and pipeline interconnections and find that the price series are not stationary and that most field markets were not cointegrated during 1987. By 1991, more than 65% of the markets had become cointegrated. The increased cointegration of prices is evidence that open access has has made gas markets more competitive.

working paper

A Systematic Evaluation Of The Impacts Of Real-traffic Condition Information On Traffic Flow

Abstract

The focus of this research effort is the study of driver behavior in the presence of real-time traffic condition information. The methodology adapted for this research involves three parts: development of a theoretical model for driver behavior under Advanced Traveler Information Systems (ATIS), interactive simulation experiments, data analysis and behavioral modeling. FASTCARS, an interactive computer-based simulator that has been developed for in-laboratory experimentation to gather data for estimating and calibrating predictive models of driver behavior under conditions of real-time information, is used in the project.

working paper

Neural Network Models For Automated Detection Of Non-recurring Congestion

Publication Date

December 31, 1992

Author(s)

Abstract

This research addressed the first year of a proposed multi-year research effort that would investigate, assess, and develop neural network models from the field of artificial intelligence for automated detection of non- recurring congestion in integrated freeway and signalized surface street networks. In this research, spatial and temporal traffic patterns are recognized and classified by an artificial neural network.

working paper

Interactive Simulation for Modeling Dynamic Driver Behavior in Response to ATIS

Abstract

It has been contended that in-laboratory experimentation with interactive microcomputer simulation can substitute for the lack of real-world applications and provide a useful approach to data collection and driver behavior analysis. With the rapid development but limited real-world deployment of Advanced Traveler Information Systems, interactive simulation has quickly grown in popularity among researchers studying dynamic driver behavior. This paper discusses the development and implementation of FASTCARS (Freeway and Arterial Street Traffic Conflict Arousal and Resolution Simulator), an interactive microcomputer-based animated simulator designed for in-laboratory experimentation to assist in the estimation and calibration of predictive models of driver behavior under the influence of real-time information.

working paper

In-Laboratory Experiments to Analyze Enroute Driver Behavior Under ATIS

Abstract

This paper discusses preliminary results from an in-laboratory experiment to study enroute driver behavior under ATIS. The case study was conducted using FASTCARS (Freeway and Arterial Street Traffic Conflict Arousal and Resolution Simulator), an interactive microcomputer-based travel choice simulator. The experiment was designed to both exhibit the value of using computer simulation for data collection and to explore factors that influence and induce changes in enroute driver behavior. A range of statistical methods were applied on both a driver and an enroute event basis to investigate underlying relationships between driver behavior and the selection and utilization of real-time information technologies. Logit models were developed for both primary and secondary diversion behavior, incorporating variables that capture the utility choice associated with enroute decision processes. Utility assessment modeling was performed to examine the potential benefits of in-vehicle navigation systems. The analyses suggest that driver familiarity both with travel conditions and network layout strongly influences driver behavior and need to acquire information. The initial results indicate that although real-time information acquisition is generally useful for clarifying drivers’ perceptions of travel conditions and assisting with route choice decisions, the value of information acquisition may decrease among more experienced drivers.

working paper

Employee Trip Reduction in Southern California: First Year Results

Publication Date

December 31, 1992

Author(s)

Gen Giuliano, Martin Wachs

Abstract

Trip reduction policies are increasingly utilized in U.S. metropolitan areas to address congestion and air quality problems. These policies typically focus on the journey to work and are aimed at reducing the amount of drive-alone commuting by providing transit and ride-sharing incentives. Severe air quality problems in Southern California have prompted the air pollution control agency for the Los Angeles metropolitan area to enact Regulation XV. The regulation requires employers to develop and implement a trip reduction program to achieve specified ride-sharing goals. It is the most ambitious and far-reaching such program implemented to date, and offers a unique opportunity to determine whether such programs can significantly affect travel behavior. This paper presents results from the first year of Regulation XV’s implementation.

working paper

After the Resolution: Excess Commuting for Two-Worker Households in the Los Angeles Metropolitan Area

Publication Date

December 31, 1992

Author(s)

Abstract

In this study, I go beyond previous studies by distinguishing between single-worker households and two-worker households. Since there are many two-worker households in urban areas, and since these households may have more constraints than single-worker households in choosing their work or residential locations, it is more illuminating to examine commuting behavior for two-worker and single-worker households separately. I first define simple constraints on residential location choice which two-worker households may have. I then measure excess commuting for two-worker households with or without those constraints, using 1991 micro data from the Los Angeles Metropolitan area.

working paper

A Simulation-based Framework For The Analysis Of Traffic Networks Operating With Real-time Information

Abstract

The focus of this research project was to develop a new simulation framework for analyzing traffic networks with Advanced Traveler Information Systems (ATIS) and/or Advanced Traffic Management Systems ( ATMS). The report describes the development of DYNASMART (DYnamic Network Assignment-Simulation Model for Advanced Road Telematics). The report is presented as follows: Chapter 1 discusses the simulation approach of DYNASMART and explains the traffic control features incorporated in it during the research. Chapter 2 discuss the simulations performed with a trial network with ATMS controls. Chapter 3 concentrates on the ATIS simulations on the Anaheim network. Results from the simulations of traffic management for special-events traffic from the Anaheim stadium are presented in Chapter 4, followed by overall conclusions.