working paper

Health Impacts of Moving Freight In and Our of the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles

Abstract

A number of strategies could reduce emissions along active freight corridors like the SPBP. These include: intelligent transportation systems (ITS), advanced traffic operations and control measures, shifting freight from trucks to trains, and increased use of clean-diesel trucks. The health impacts of such strategies should be closely studied in coming years. Our analysis is being expanded to measure health impacts of trucks not only on freeways that feed directly into the port, but also on nearby local streets and other freeways in the corridor.

policy brief

What are the Public Health and Environmental Implications of Drayage Truck Electrification Targets in California?

Abstract

To better understand the implications of transitioning drayage trucks to zero-emission, this project analyzed the health impacts and GHG freeway emissions from diesel-powered drayage trucks and the benefits of replacing them with zero-emission trucks, accounting for current and expected air quality regulations. The study area stretched between the San Pedro Bay and the Inland Empire, home to large warehouse complexes. It focused on two years: 2012 (when pre-2007 drayage trucks were phased out in the Clean Air Action Plan), and 2035 (the deadline in Executive Order N-79-20). The analyses incorporated projections of the size and composition of the vehicle fleets from data collected by the California Air Resources Board (CARB), estimates of future emission factors from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency that account for projected technology improvements, and projected increases in cargo demand at the ports in 2035 compared to 2012.

policy brief

What Matters Most to Drayage Companies When Considering a Zero-Emission Truck: Insights from Small and Large Fleet Operators

Abstract

Drayage trucks (i.e., heavy-duty trucks that move containers and bulk freight between ports and rail facilities, distribution centers, and other nearby locations) are a critical part of port operations, however, they also adversely affect air quality. In California, drayage fleets are facing strict regulatory pressure under the Advanced Clean Fleets (ACF) regulations. Starting in January 2024, all newly registered drayage trucks in the CARB Online System must be zero emission vehicles (ZEVs), so either a battery electric truck (BET) or hydrogen fuel cell electric truck (HFCET). By 2035, every drayage truck operating in California must be zero-emission.
To successfully meet this policy goal, it is important to understand the viewpoints of drayage fleet operators. However, there is limited knowledge about how fleets of various sizes, especially small fleets with 20 or fewer vehicles (which make up 70% of the sector), are responding to ZEVs and related policies. To bridge this gap, the study team surveyed both small and large drayage fleet operators at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, with 71 companies participating. As part of the survey, fleet operators were asked to choose a preferred truck under different scenarios. In the first scenario, they chose between different ZEV trucks; in the second scenario, they chose between ZEVs, diesel, or natural gas trucks, shedding light on potential reasons which fleets might delay ZEV adoption if they still prefer diesel or natural gas trucks. The team analyzed around 650 choice observations using statistical models to explore these preferences, as well as other survey items regarding their perceptions.

policy brief

Navigating the Shift: Critical Insights of California Fleet Operators into Zero-Emission Technologies

Abstract

California is committed to transitioning heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) from diesel to zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) like battery electric vehicles (BEVs) or hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (HFCEVs) by 2045, and in certain cases much sooner. Achieving this goal requires substantial efforts from various sectors, including vehicle manufacturers, infrastructure developers, and governments. It is particularly important to understand the perspectives of HDV fleet operators, as their viewpoints and willingness to adopt ZEVs will be critical to California’s success in this transition.
To better understand the perspective of fleet operators, we conducted in-depth interviews with 18 California HDV fleet operators, across various sectors and fleet sizes, on the viability of zero-emission fuels and vehicles over the next 10 to 20 years and the main motivators for, and barriers to, procuring ZEVs.

research report

Natural Gas Vehicle Incentive Program

Abstract

This report presents the results of the Natural Gas Vehicle Incentive Program administered by the Institute of Transportation Studies at the University of California, Irvine under agreement number 600-14-006 with the California Energy Commission. Program development and administration is described, including discussion of outreach efforts and engagement with stakeholders to improve program operations. Performance statistics for the Natural Gas Vehicle Incentive Program are presented describing the characteristics of the 916 vehicles incentivized under the project, and the 87 distinct entities that received incentive funding. Recommendations are offered for future vehicle incentive programs to resolve some of the problems that arose during the administration of the program that were mostly due to structural characteristics of the voucher process itself. The report also details the findings of two major research efforts conducted under the agreement. The first research thrust targeted developing a better understanding of alternative fuel demand from the perspective of fleet operations. This included both fleet purchase behavior as it relates to alternative fuel heavy duty vehicles and also a detailed study of how heavy-duty vehicle operating cycles impact their emissions and suitability for alternative fuel deployments. The second research thrust addressed the implications of scaling specific features of the California Sustainable Freight Action Plan to statewide operations. Using results from the California Statewide Freight Forecasting Model, a case study on optimizing the deployment of overhead catenary electric highway infrastructure around the state in terms of either maximizing vehicle miles traveled coverage or maximizing the accrued benefits to disadvantaged communities.

policy brief

Evaluating Mixed Electric Vehicle and Conventional Fueled Vehicle Fleets for Last-mile Package Delivery

published journal article

Health and equity impacts from electrifying drayage trucks

Abstract

Diesel heavy-duty drayage trucks (HDDTs) serving the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach in Southern California are large contributors to regional air pollution, but cost remains an obstacle to replacing them with zero-emission HDDTs. To quantify the health and equity impacts of operating diesel HDDTs, we built a microscopic simulation model of a regional freeway network and quantified their emissions of PM2.5 (particulate matter with a diameter < 2.5 μm) and CO2 in 2012 and 2035, before estimating their contribution to selected health outcomes. We found that 483 premature deaths ($5.59 billion) and 15,468 asthma attacks could be attributed to HDDTs in 2012. Regulations and technological advances could shrink these impacts to 106 premature deaths ($1.31 billion) and 2,142 asthma attacks in 2035 (over 2/3 accruing to disadvantaged communities) despite population growth and a 145 % jump in drayage traffic, but they still justify replacing diesel HDDTs with zero-emission HDDTs by 2035.

presentation

Kent Distinguished Lecture, University of Illinois Transportation Center, Nov 2022: "Data, modeling and emerging technologies on the road to sustainable freight transportation."

research report

Evaluating Mixed Electric Vehicle and Conventional Fueled Vehicle Fleets for Lastmile Package Delivery

presentation

Invited Expert Testimony in 2021 on the California ”Heavy Duty Vehicle Sector” to the Joint Informational Hearing of the California Senate Committee on Transportation and Senate Budget Subcommittee 2 on Resources, Environmental Protection, and Energy, on The California Energy Commission’s Clean Transportation Program and California’s Zero Emissions Vehicle Deployment Strategy