published journal article

Measuring the containment and spillover effects of urban growth boundaries: The case of the Portland metropolitan area. UGB's Containment and Spillover Effects

Growth and change

Publication Date

December 1, 2013

Author(s)

Suggested Citation
Jae Hong Kim (2013) “Measuring the containment and spillover effects of urban growth boundaries: The case of the Portland metropolitan area. UGB's Containment and Spillover Effects”, Growth and change, 44(4), pp. 650–675. Available at: 10.1111/grow.12028.

published journal article

Exposure to traffic related air pollution in pregnancy and infancy in relation to autism spectrum disorder in California

Environmental Epidemiology

Publication Date

October 1, 2019

Author(s)

O. von Ehrenstein, H. Aralis, X. Cui, Jun Wu, Joann Wu, Lawrence Liu, M. Cockburn, B. Ritz

Abstract

An abstract is unavailable.

Suggested Citation
O. von Ehrenstein, H. Aralis, X. Cui, J. Wu, L. Li, M. Cockburn and B. Ritz (2019) “Exposure to traffic related air pollution in pregnancy and infancy in relation to autism spectrum disorder in California”, Environmental Epidemiology, 3, p. 417. Available at: 10.1097/01.EE9.0000610672.40487.98.

published journal article

Time for hydrogen buses? Dynamic analysis of the Hong Kong bus market

Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment

Publication Date

February 1, 2023

Author(s)

Zifan Wang, Jiangbo (Gabe) Yu, Guoyuan Li, Chengxiang Zhuge, Anthony Chen

Abstract

The tradeoff between hydrogen buses (H-buses) and electric bus (E-buses) is an important issue in public transportation electrification. This study investigated the feasibility and policy implications of Hong Kong achieving its goal of carbon neutrality via a competitive bus-market mechanism. First, we established a dynamic bus-market evolution model by using the system dynamics method to adopt a generalized Lotka–Volterra model and discrete choice model. We then applied the model to the case of Hong Kong and tested various policies. The results showed that (1) relying on business-as-usual policies and market evolution may result in only 66% of Hong Kong’s bus fleet being zero-emission by 2050; (2) long-term subsidies for H-bus purchases and support for hydrogen stations are effective for H-bus market; (3) carbon tax may not be effective owing to its small proportion of total cost; and (4) policymakers should consider the delay effect of advocacy for green consumption.

Suggested Citation
Zhuowei Wang, Jiangbo Yu, Guoyuan Li, Chengxiang Zhuge and Anthony Chen (2023) “Time for hydrogen buses? Dynamic analysis of the Hong Kong bus market”, Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 115, p. 103602. Available at: 10.1016/j.trd.2022.103602.

conference paper

A dense background representation model for traffic surveillance based on roadside LiDAR

Proceedings of the 3rd annual irvine symposium for emerging research in transportation (ISERT 2020)

Publication Date

January 1, 2020

Author(s)

Yingji Xia
Suggested Citation
Yingji Xia (2020) “A dense background representation model for traffic surveillance based on roadside LiDAR”, in Proceedings of the 3rd annual irvine symposium for emerging research in transportation (ISERT 2020).

working paper

Discrete Choice Modeling for Transportation

Publication Date

January 23, 2001

Author(s)

Abstract

This paper discusses important developments in discrete choice modeling for transportation applications. Since there have been a number of excellent recent surveys of the discrete choice literature aimed at transportation applications (see Bhat, 1997 and 2000a), this paper will concentrate on new developments and areas given less weight in recent surveys. Small and Winston (1999) give an excellent review of the transportation demand literature that includes many examples of how discrete choice models have been used in demand analysis.

book/book chapter

An application of the disequilibrium adjustment framework to small area forecasting and impact analysis

Publication Date

January 1, 2012

Author(s)

Jae Hong Kim, Geoffrey J.D. Hewings
Suggested Citation
Jae Hong Kim and Geoffrey J.D. Hewings (2012) “An application of the disequilibrium adjustment framework to small area forecasting and impact analysis”, in Defining the spatial scale in modern regional analysis. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, pp. 139–155. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31994-5_7.

research report

Life Cycle Assessment of Environmental and Economic Impacts of Deploying Alternative Urban Bus Powertrain Technologies in the South Coast Air Basin

Abstract

To aid in addressing issues of air quality and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the South Coast Air Basin, local transit agencies are considering a shift to battery electric buses (BEBs) and hydrogen fuel cell electric buses (FCEBs). Each of these options vary in their overall effectiveness in reducing different emission types over their life cycle, associated life cycle costs, ability to meet operational needs of transit agencies, and life cycle environmental footprint. This project carried out a life cycle-based analysis and comparison of the GHG emissions, criteria pollutant emissions, and other environmental externalities associated with BEBs and FCEBs, taking into account their ability to meet operational constraints of the Orange County Transportation Authority. From an environmental footprint perspective, this study found the following. First, both FCEBs and long-range BEBs have comparable impacts for global warming potential and particulate matter formation but when the FCEBs were fueled using renewable hydrogen. Second, using electricity from the current California grid mix to drive electrolysis to produce hydrogen for FCEBs produced only marginal benefits compared to current natural-gas fueled vehicles due to the low supply chain efficiency of this pathway. Third, the mining of precious metals is a major contributor to environmental footprint categories for both BEBs and FCEBs. Fourth, both FCEVs and long-range BEBs provide significant reductions in environmental footprint compared to conventional diesel and natural gas buses. From a cost perspective, this study found the following. First, with current-day cost inputs, FCEBs and BEBs have comparable total cost of ownership, but both have slightly higher costs than diesel and natural gas buses. Second, FCEBs have an equivalent total cost of ownership to BEBs when the electricity rate for charging is $0.24/kWh. Higher values render FCEBs as the cheaper option and lower values render BEBs as the cheaper option. Second, the total cost of ownership of these technologies is highly sensitive to electricity costs, and the rapid evolution of the electricity system has strong implications for the economic comparison between BEBs and FCEBs. Overall, this study finds that while both FCEBs and BEBs provide life-cycle environmental benefits, further cost reductions in electricity rates and initial purchase costs are needed to achieve total cost of ownership parity with conventional bus powertrains. With the rapid evolution of the electricity system and falling costs for renewable electricity resources, these cost reductions may occur in the near future.

Suggested Citation
Analy Castillo, Brian Tarroja and G. Scott Samuelsen (2019) Life Cycle Assessment of Environmental and Economic Impacts of Deploying Alternative Urban Bus Powertrain Technologies in the South Coast Air Basin. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/81f4361x (Accessed: October 11, 2023).

published journal article

State affordable housing appeals systems and access to opportunity: Evidence from the northeastern united states

Housing Policy Debate

Publication Date

March 1, 2020
Suggested Citation
Nicholas J. Marantz and Huixin Zheng (2020) “State affordable housing appeals systems and access to opportunity: Evidence from the northeastern united states”, Housing Policy Debate, 30(3), pp. 370–395. Available at: 10.1080/10511482.2020.1712612.

working paper

Development of an Integrated Microscopic Traffic Simulation and Signal Timing Optimization Tool

Abstract

A big segment of the traffic signal control systems in California and United States are closed-loop systems. Because wide-scale deployment of advanced adaptive control systems may be many years away due to the associated high costs, there is a significant need to improve the effectiveness of the state-of-the-practice closed-loop systems. To address the need, this project focuses on: 1) developing an integrated micro-simulation/signal optimization tool to enhance the capability of generating efficient signal timing plans, and 2) developing a systematic approach to make closed-loop systems be more robust and traffic responsive.

An integrated simulation/signal optimization tool can generate, evaluate and fine tune signal timing plans in a cohesive manner. This report presents an approach for integrating Paramics with Synchro and TRANSYT-7F. Two sets of Paramics plug-ins are developed to facilitate the two-way data conversion between Paramics and Synchro or TRANSYT-7F. The first set of plug-ins read Paramics network data and traffic volume data and generate Synchro or TRANSYT-7F data files while the second transfer optimized signal timing data back to Paramics. These tools may assist traffic engineers in developing efficient signal timing plans for arterial traffic operations. Step-by-step tutorials are also included in the report to teach how to use the new plug-ins.

The advancement and deployment of telecommunication and ITS technologies make traffic and signal status data more readily available. These high-resolution data provide opportunities to allow closed-loop control systems to operate more adaptively and robustly to the changes in traffic demands and patterns. This report presents a systematic approach to make use of traffic and signal data to further improve the control performance of closed-loop systems. The systematic approach includes three components: timing, monitoring, and fine-tuning. For timing, two innovative models are developed to generate robust optimal signal timings that are less sensitive to fluctuations of traffic flows at the same time minimizing the mean of the delays per vehicle across all possible realizations of uncertain traffic flows. Another procedure is proposed to optimally determine time-of-day intervals for time-of-day controls based on a large set of archived traffic data. For monitoring, a prototype signal performance monitoring system is developed to report performance measures of signal control operations and help traffic operation staffs make the decision whether a retiming or fine-tuning effort is needed or not. Finally, for fine-tuning, an offset refiner is introduced to fine tune signal offsets to provide smoother progression in either one-way or two-way coordination. The offset refiner is easy to implement, and could be run periodically or together with the performance monitoring system. If the signal performance degrades, the refiner can be called to fine-tune the offsets for better progression.

Preprint Journal Article

Decarbonizing Aviation: Cash-for-Clunkers in the Airline Industry

Publication Date

March 1, 2024

Author(s)

Jan Brueckner, Matthew E. Kahn, Jerry Nickelsburg

Abstract

The durability of the transportation capital stock slows down the pace of decarbonization since newer vintages feature cutting-edge technology. If older vintages were to be retired sooner, the social cost of travel would decline. This paper analyzes and explores the viability of a potential cash-for-clunkers program for the airline industry, which would help to hasten decarbonization of US aviation. Our estimation and calculations show that airlines can be induced to scrap rather than sell older planes upon retirement with a payment that is less than the forgone carbon damage, yielding net social benefits.

Suggested Citation
Jan K. Brueckner, Matthew E. Kahn and Jerry Nickelsburg (2024) “Decarbonizing Aviation: Cash-for-Clunkers in the Airline Industry”. National Bureau of Economic Research (Working Paper Series). Available at: 10.3386/w32205.