published journal article

Stable Dynamic Pricing Scheme Independent of Lane-choice Models for High-Occupancy Toll Lanes

Abstract

There are two operational objectives for operating high-occupancy toll (HOT) lanes: (i) to maintain the free-flow condition to guarantee the travel time reliability; and (ii) to maximize the HOT lanes’ throughput to minimize the system’s total delay. The traffic dynamics on both HOT and general purpose (GP) lanes are described by point queue models, where the queueing times are determined by the demands and capacities.

This article considers three types of lane-choice models: the multinomial logit model when single-occupancy vehicles (SOVs) share the same value of time, the vehicle-based user equilibrium model when SOVs’ values of time are heterogeneous and follow a distribution, and a general lane-choice model. The article demonstrates that the second objective is approximately equivalent to the social welfare optimization principle for the logit model. Observing that the dynamic price and the excess queueing time on the general purpose lanes are linearly correlated in all the lane-choice models, the article proposes a feedback control method to determine the dynamic prices based on two integral controllers. The article further presents a method to estimate the parameters of a lane-choice model once its type is known. Analytically the article proves that the equilibrium state of the closed-loop system with constant demand patterns is ideal, since the two objectives are achieved in it, and that it is asymptotically stable. With numerical examples, the article verifies the effectiveness of the solution method.

policy brief

A Higher Diesel Tax Increases Road Damage

Abstract

Tractor-trailers dominate the truck cargo industry. Between 1990 and 2010, this industry grew significantly; vehicle miles traveled increased 87 percent and ton-miles increased by 47 percent. While the growth of trucking miles and tonmiles is a positive indicator of economic transformation and expansion, the trucking sector also produces negative externalities, including but not limited to pavement damage. Pavement damage is closely tied to vehicle weight, which is a product of private market decisions driven by the cost of delivery per ton and the frequency of delivery. Understanding the interplay between fuel cost and private sector decisions on truck dispatch (i.e., frequency and load of trucks) is key to understanding infrastructure damage.

research report

A Higher Diesel Tax Increases Road Damage

Abstract

Tractor-trailers dominate the truck cargo industry. Between 1990 and 2010, this industry grew significantly; vehicle miles traveled increased 87 percent and ton-miles increased by 47 percent. While the growth of trucking miles and tonmiles is a positive indicator of economic transformation and expansion, the trucking sector also produces negative externalities, including but not limited to pavement damage. Pavement damage is closely tied to vehicle weight, which is a product of private market decisions driven by the cost of delivery per ton and the frequency of delivery. Understanding the interplay between fuel cost and private sector decisions on truck dispatch (i.e., frequency and load of trucks) is key to understanding infrastructure damage.

working paper

Lidar Based Reconstruction framework for Truck Surveillance

Abstract

Monitoring Commerical Vehicle Activities is very important for developing and  maintaining efficient freight transport systems. In the existing Literature this is broadly done through vehicle classification and reidentification problems using various sensing technologies. Lidar is an emerging traffic sensing technology which could potentially serve as a multi functional sensor for transport systems. In out current work we mainly focused on developing and qualitatively assessing a Lidar based Reconstruction framework for Truck surveillance purpose. We proposed a two stage Truck body reconstruction framework and found the results of reconstructed Truck bodies are quite promising for several truck-trailer configurations. For certain types of Truck-Trialer configurations such as containers due to the sparsity of scanned points in lateral direction, the wheel portion of reconstructed body still has noticeable deformations. We would like to address the same in our future work.

published journal article

A Control Theoretic Approach to Simultaneously Estimate Average Value of Time and Determine Dynamic Price for High-Occupancy Toll Lanes

Abstract

The dynamic pricing problem of a freeway corridor with high-occupancy toll (HOT) lanes was formulated and solved based on a point queue abstraction of the traffic system. However, existing pricing strategies cannot guarantee that the closed-loop system converges to the optimal state, in which the HOT lanes’ capacity is fully utilized but there is no queue on the HOT lanes, and a well-behaved estimation and control method is quite challenging and still elusive.

This article attempts to fill the gap by making three fundamental contributions: (i) to present a simpler formulation of the point queue model based on the new concept of residual capacity, (ii) to propose a simple feedback control theoretic approach to estimate the average value of time and calculate the dynamic price, and (iii) to analytically and numerically prove that the closed-loop system is stable and guaranteed to converge to the optimal state, in either Gaussian or exponential manners.

MS Thesis

Imputation of missing traffic flow data by using denoising autoencoders

Abstract

In transportation engineering, Spatio-temporal data including traffic flow, speed, and occupancy are collected from different kinds of sensors and used by transportation engineers for analysis. However, the missing data influence the analysis and prediction results significantly. In this thesis, Denoising Autoencoders are used to impute the missing traffic flow data. First, we focused on the general situation and used three kinds of Denoising Autoencoders: “Vanilla”, CNN, and Bi-LSTM to implement the data with a general missing rate of 30%. Each model was optimized by focusing on the main hyper-parameters since the tuning can influence the accuracy of the final prediction result. Then, the Autoencoder models are used to train and test data with an exceptionally high missing rate of about 80%. We do this to test and then demonstrate that even under extreme loss conditions, Autoencoder models are very robust. By observing the hyper-parameter tuning process, the changing prediction accuracy is shown and in most cases, all three models maintain good accuracy even under the worst situations. Moreover, the error patterns and trends concerning different sensor stations and different hours on weekdays and weekends are also visualized and analyzed. Finally, based on these results, we separate the data into weekdays and weekends, train and test the models respectively, and improve the accuracy of the imputation result significantly. 

Phd Dissertation

Deep Learning Models for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting and Analysis

Abstract

Spatio-temporal problems arise in broad areas of environmental and transportation systems. These problems are challenging, because of both spatial and temporal neighborhood similarities and correlations. We consider traffic data, which is a complex example of spatio-temporal data. Traffic data is geo-referenced time series data, where fixed locations have observations for a period of time. Traffic data analysis and related machine learning tasks have an important role in intelligent transportation systems, such as designing navigation systems, traffic management, control systems and in the future will be essential for setting appropriate anticipatory tolls. Recent data collection methodologies dramatically increase the volume of available spatio-temporal data, which require scalable machine learning models. Moreover, deep learning models outperform traditional machine learning and statistical models due to their strong feature learning abilities in spatial and temporal domains. Increases in available data and recent advances in deep learning models in spatio-temporal domains are the main motivations of this dissertation.

We first study, non data-driven and optimization-based solutions for the network flow problem, which appears in a wide range of applications including transportation systems and electricity networks. In these applications, the underlying physical layer of the systems can generate a very large graph resulting in an optimization problem with a large decision variable space. We present a distributed solution for the network flow problem. The model uses cycle basis and an alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) method to find a lower computational time and number of communications, while obtaining a centrally optimal solution.

Second, we attempt to obtain spatio-temporal clusters in traffic data, which represent similar traffic data in terms of both spatial and temporal similarities. Clustering of traffic data are used to analyze traffic congestion propagation and detection. We obtain spatio-temporal clusters using a modification to Deep Embedded Clustering, which considers both spatial and temporal similarities in latent features. Also we define new evaluation metrics to evaluate spatio-temporal clusters of traffic flow data.

Third, when sensors collect spatio-temporal data in a large geographical area, the existence of missing data cannot be escaped, which negatively impacts of prediction models. Here, we investigate the problem of incorporating both spatial and temporal contexts in missing traffic data imputation using convolutional and recurrent neural networks. We propose a convolutional-recurrent autoencoder for missing data imputation, and illustrate the performance of autoencoders for missing data imputation in spatio-temporal data.

Finally, traffic flow prediction has an important role in diverse intelligent transportation systems and navigational systems. There is a large literature on this problem. However, the problem is challenging for high-dimensional traffic data. We explicitly design the neural network architecture for capturing various types of spatial and temporal patterns. We also define evaluation metrics for spatio-temporal forecasting problems to better evaluate generalization of the model over various spatial and temporal features.

policy brief

Shared Autonomous Mobility Services Show Promise for Increasing Access to Employment in Southern California

Abstract

Workers in Southern California currently face transportation related challenges accessing employment opportunities, including but not limited to high parking costs and/or limited parking availability in dense employment and residential areas; long commute distances between residential areas and employment opportunities; and poor transit service quality in many areas. These challenges are particularly burdensome for low-income households that may not have access to a personal vehicle and/or live in job-poor neighborhoods, as having a personal vehicle may be the only viable way to get to work.