book/book chapter

Urban Spatial Structure

Publication Date

February 28, 1997

Author(s)

Richard Arnott, Kenneth Small

Abstract

An interview with Chicago’s current mayor, Richard M. Daley:

‘New York is too big this way,’ the mayor says, raising a thick hand over his head. Stretching both arms out at his sides, he adds, ‘Los Angeles is too big this way. All the other cities are too small. We’re just right.’ (Bailey and Coleman, 1996, p. 6)

Mayor Daley is catering to a widespread fascination with the roles that urban size and structure play in people’s lives. Academic as well as other observers have long sought explanations for urban development patterns and criteria by which to judge their desirability. Furthermore, as we shall see, understanding the organization of cities yields insights about economy-wide growth processes and sheds light on economic concepts of long standing interest: returns to scale, monopolistic competition, vertical integration, technological innovation, innovation diffusion, and international specialization. Cities also are prime illustrations of some newer academic interests such as complex structural evolution and self-organization.

working paper

Multiple Imputation Methodology for Missing Data, Non-Random Response, and Panel Attrition

Publication Date

February 28, 1997

Author(s)

Abstract

Modern travel-behavior surveys have become quite complex; they frequently include multiple telephone contacts, travel diaries, and customized stated preference experiments. The complexity and length of these surveys lead to pervasive problems with missing data and non-random response biases. Panel surveys, which are becoming common in transportation research, also suffer from non-random attrition biases. This paper shows how Rubin’s (1987a) multiple imputation methodology provides a unified approach to alleviating these problems.

working paper

Hypercongestion

Publication Date

February 28, 1997

Abstract

The standard economic model for analyzing traffic congestion, due to A.A. Walters, incorporates a relationship between speed and traffic flow. Empirical measurements indicate a region, known as hypercongestion, in which speed increases with flow. We argue that this relationship is unsuitable as a supply curve for equilibrium analysis because hypercongestion occurs as a response to transient demand fluctuations. We then present tractable models for handling such fluctuations, both for a uniform expressway and for a dense street network such as in a central business district (CBD). For the CBD model, we consider both exogenous and endogenous time patterns for demand, and we make use of an empirical speed-density relationship for Dallas, Texas to characterize both congested and hypercongested conditions.

working paper

Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Australian Commuters' Attitudes and Behaviour Concerning Abatement Policies and Personal Involvement

Abstract

Public interest in the environment is building as we gain information about the deterioration in air quality and the potential threat of global warming. This research addresses the dichotomy between an individual’s behavior and his or her attitudinal support for policies which are promoted as benefiting the environmental. We study how responses to attitudinal survey questions are interrelated, and how such responses are related to actual travel behavior using data from a survey undertaken in six capital cities in Australia in 1994. A measurement model is used to establish a set of latent attitudinal factors, and these factors are related in a structural equations model to a set of behavioral variables representing commuter’s mode choice and choice of compressed work schedules, conditioned by a set of exogenous variables. Individuals with a strong environmental commitment are more likely to be female, from smaller households with fewer cars, be either under 30 years old or over 50 years old, have high household income and be highly educated. However, women are likely to view the car as a status symbol, and this attitude is conducive to choice of solo driving. Commuters who use public transport are more likely to support policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Switching commuters away from solo driving can have effects that transcend the benefit obtained from reduced vehicle use for the journey to work alone.

working paper

An Activity-Based Approach to Accessibility

Publication Date

December 31, 1996

Abstract

This paper presents the initial formulation of an activity-based model structure to address deficiencies in traditional measures of individual accessibility and which incorporates temporal transference effects of alternative travel behaviors within a household to form an index sensitive to such effects. A network-based activity assignment protocol is developed for complex travel activity decisions within a household. The research incorporates routing, scheduling, household activity assignment, and ride-sharing components into a hybrid model that explicitly captures the interactions between household members and integrates mode availability, ride-sharing behavior, and time window constraints. In this approach, individual accessibility can be estimated and aggregated to reflect accessibility within a household under alternative transportation supply environments. Prior research on such accessibility approaches suggests that the proposed extensions can be applied to estimate the impacts of changes in transportation and land development policies; the usefulness of this approach in such analysis is demonstrated by its application to selected case studies based on data derived from the Portland, Oregon Activity and Travel Behavior Survey.

working paper

Inducing investments and regulating externalities by command versus taxes

Publication Date

December 31, 1996

Author(s)

Abstract

A linear tax on an externality-generating activity may not attain the first-best social optimum. The problem arises because a monopolist’s gain from improving the characteristics of a product may differ from the social gain, even when consumers are willing to pay for the change.

working paper

Public Works, the Courts, and the Consent Decree: Environmental and Social Effects of the “Freeway With a Heart”

Abstract

Transportation planning in the United States has undergone a revolution in the past two decades. As recently as the late 1960s, with little citizen participation apart from public hearings on specific routes (Rosener, 1975), technical experts laid out plans for major transportation facilities, and their agency colleagues implemented those plans through standard routines. These routines often included noncontested condemnation and considerable alteration of the physical environment.

working paper

A Model of Activity Participation Between Household Heads

Publication Date

December 31, 1996

Abstract

A structural model is used to explain activity interactions between heads of households and, in so doing, to explain household demand for travel. The model attempts to capture links between activity participation and associated derived travel, links between activities performed by male and female heads, links between types of travel, and time-budget feedbacks from travel to activity participation. Data for pairs of opposite gender heads of households are o=from the 1994 Portland Activity and Travel Survey. The results suggest that a feedback mechanism should be introduced in trip generation models to reflect the effect of activity frequency and duration on the level of associated travel.

journal article preprint

A Vehicle Use Forecasting Model Based on Revealed and Stated Vehicle Type Choice and Utilisation Data

Publication Date

December 31, 1996

Author(s)

Abstract

This research describes a new model of household vehicle use behavior by type of vehicle. Forecasts of future vehicle emissions, including potential gains that might be attributed to introductions of alternative-fuel (clean-fuel) vehicles, critically depend upon the ability to forecast vehicle-miles travelled by the fuel type, body style and size, and vintage of vehicle. 

working paper

Inner-City Commercial Strips: Evolution, Decay – Retrofit?

Publication Date

December 31, 1996

Author(s)

Anastasia Loukaitou-Sideris

Abstract

The focus of this research is the commercial strip of the American inner city which, due to disinvestment, high crime rates, arbitrary and haphazard development, and poor connections to surrounding residential neighbourhoods, has become a problematic environment. Physical retrofit and economic policies are urgently needed in order to reclaim these decaying urban environments. This paper concentrates on the subject of physical retrofit, using three inner-city commercial strips in Los Angeles as case studies to document residents’ needs and utilisation of these strips, and proposes design and policy changes for their physical improvement.