Preprint Journal Article

Priority Queue Formulation of Agent-Based Bathtub Model for Network Trip Flows in the Relative Space

Abstract

Agent-based models have been extensively used to simulate the behavior of travelers in transportation systems because they allow for realistic and versatile modeling of interactions. However, traditional agent-based models suffer from high computational costs and rely on tracking physical locations, raising privacy concerns. This paper proposes an efficient formulation for the agent-based bathtub model (AB2M) in the relative space, where each agent’s trajectory is represented by a time series of the remaining distance to its destination. The AB2M can be understood as a microscopic model that tracks individual trips’ initiation, progression, and completion and is an exact numerical solution of the bathtub model for generic (time-dependent) trip distance distributions. The model can be solved for a deterministic set of trips with a given demand pattern (defined by the start time of each trip and its distance), or it can be used to run Monte Carlo simulations to capture the average behavior and variation stochastic demand patterns, described by probabilistic distributions of trip distances and departure times. To enhance the computational efficiency, we introduce a priority queue formulation, eliminating the need to update trip positions at each time step and allowing us to run large-scale scenarios with millions of individual trips in seconds. We systematically explore the scaling properties and discuss the introduction of biases and numerical errors. The systematic exploration of scaling properties of the modeling of individual agents in the relative space with the AB2M further enhances its applicability to large-scale transportation systems and opens up opportunities for studying travel time reliability, scheduling, and mode choices.

Suggested Citation
Irene Martinez and Wen-long Jin (2023) “Priority Queue Formulation of Agent-Based Bathtub Model for Network Trip Flows in the Relative Space”. arXiv. Available at: 10.48550/arXiv.2309.01970.

working paper

Simultaneous Equation Systems Involving Binary Choice Variables

Publication Date

November 1, 1988

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-88-15, UCI-ITS-AS-WP-88-3

Abstract

In this paper a simultaneous modeling system for dichotomous endogenous variables is developed and applied empirically to longitudinal travel demand data of modal choice. The reported research is motivated by three factors. First, the analysis of discrete data has become standard practice among geographers, sociologists, and economists. In the seventies a number of new tools were developed to handle multivariate discrete data (Bishop, et al., 1975; Fienberg, 1980; Goodman, 1972). However, while these methods are invaluable in studying empirical relationships among sets of discrete variables, they have a limited ability to reveal the underlying causal structure that generated the data. Second, in travel demand analysis and housing market modeling, attention has been focused largely on single-equation models. It can be argued that this scope is too limited. Human decisions are usually not taken in isolation but in conjunction with other decisions and events. There may be complex feedback relations, recursive, sequential, and simultaneous decision structures that cannot be adequately described in a single equation. This has been a major motivation in the seventies in sociology for the development of a new modeling approach: linear structural equations with latent variables. Such models combine the classical simultaneous equation system model with a linear measurement model. Original developments, particularly the LISREL model (Jtireskog, 1973, 1977), did not allow for discrete dependent variables. More recently, Muthen (1983, 1984, 1987) and others (e.g., Bentler, 1983, 1985) developed models that incorporate various types of non-normal endogenous variables, including censored/truncated polytomous and dummy variables. This paper explores the possibilities of this method for simultaneous equation models in dynamic analysis of mobility. A third motivation for the present research is the rapid growth of longitudinal data sets. In recent years many longitudinal surveys have become available for geographical, economic, and transportation analyses. In labor and housing market analysis the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID, 1984) has played an important role (Heckman and Singer, 1985; Davies and Crouchley, 1984, 1985). In consumer behavior, the Cardiff Consumer Panel has been a major motivation for the development and testing of dynamic discrete choice models (Wrigley, et al., 1985; Wrigley and Dunn, 1984a, 1984b, 1984c, 1985; Dunn and Wrigley, 1985; Uncles, 1987). In the Netherlands a large general mobility panel has been conducted annually since 1984 (J. Golob, et al., 1985; van Wissen and Meurs, 1989). Here analyses have focused on discrete data on modal choice (T. Golob, et al., 1986), as well as on dynamic structural modeling (Golob and Meurs, 1987, 1988; Kitamura, 1987; Golob and van Wissen, 1988; Golob, 1988). The present paper is an extension of this line of research to incorporate dynamic structural models of modal choice, using data from the Dutch Mobility Panel.

Suggested Citation
Leo J. van Wissen and Thomas F. Golob (1988) Simultaneous Equation Systems Involving Binary Choice Variables. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-88-15, UCI-ITS-AS-WP-88-3. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/79d13259.

working paper

Used Oil Policies to Protect the Environment: An Overview of Canadian Experiences

Publication Date

September 1, 2001

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-01-5, UCTC 666

Areas of Expertise

Abstract

We examine some consequences of dumping used oil in the environment and review some policies to foster used oil recycling. We then contrast policies adopted in the Canadian Prairie Provinces for managing used oil, used oil filters, and containers, with those put in place in the rest of Canada. Our analysis proposes that public-private partnerships relying on economic instruments and public education can be more effective for recycling used oil than public agencies relying mostly on regulations.

Suggested Citation
Hilary Nixon and Jean-Daniel Saphores (2001) Used Oil Policies to Protect the Environment: An Overview of Canadian Experiences. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-01-5, UCTC 666. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8x15b0x7.

conference paper

A new cell transmission model with priority vehicles and special lanes

INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM OF TRANSPORT SIMULATION (ISTS'18) AND THE INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON TRAFFIC DATA COLLECTION AND ITS STANDARDIZATION (IWTDCS'18) - EMERGING TRANSPORT TECHNOLOGIES FOR NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY

Publication Date

January 1, 2018

Author(s)

Wenlong Jin, Kentaro Wada

Abstract

Daganzo (1997) proposed a kinematic wave model of a traffic system with priority vehicles and special lanes, where the priority vehicles can use both regular and special lanes, but the regular vehicles can only use the regular lanes. Further in Daganzo et al. (1997), the Incremental Transfer (IT) principle was applied to devise a Cell Transmission Model to numerically solve the model. In this paper we first derive the fundamental diagram of a traffic system with priority vehicles and special lanes based on Wardrops user equilibrium principle and then show after transforming the variables that there exist two auxiliary Lighthill-Whitham-Richards model, which can be used to define the demand and supply functions. We present a new junction flux function for the Cell Transmission Model, which is simpler than the IT principle, and more importantly, is a lane-based formulation. Comparing the proposed fluxes with the Godunov (or IT principle) ones analytically, we identify the cases that they are different. Nevertheless, with numerical experiments, we demonstrate that they are consistent in all the cases in the sense that the stationary states of both models are identical. Finally, we show numerical examples that demonstrate the IT principle is not invariant by using a non-triangular fundamental diagram. (C) 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Suggested Citation
Wen-Long Jin and Kentaro Wada (2018) “A new cell transmission model with priority vehicles and special lanes”, in . Yoshii, T and Shiomi, Y and Kusakabe, T and Wada, K (ed.) INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM OF TRANSPORT SIMULATION (ISTS'18) AND THE INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON TRAFFIC DATA COLLECTION AND ITS STANDARDIZATION (IWTDCS'18) - EMERGING TRANSPORT TECHNOLOGIES FOR NEXT GENERATION MOBILITY. ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV (Transportation research procedia), pp. 28–35. Available at: 10.1016/j.trpro.2018.11.010.

conference paper

An analysis of the timing of truck and car accidents in a busy freight corridor

Proceedings of the 91st annual meeting of the transportation research board

Publication Date

January 1, 2012

Abstract

The objective of this study is to understand the timing of truck and car accidents in a busy freight corridor (I-110 and I-710 freeways) that connects the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach to nearby intermodal rail and trans-loading facilities, and various warehouses. The authors analyze 16,417 accidents that occurred between 2005 and 2007 on these two freeways in Los Angeles County, California; approximately 14.5 percent of these accidents involved trucks. Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) data were collected from the Freeway Performance Measurement System (PeMS) to compute hourly and monthly car and truck accident rates for both freeways in both traffic directions. Kolmogorov-Smirnov and CramÃrâ??von Mises goodness of fit tests were then calculated to test whether directional accident probabilities are similar or not and whether the risk of an accident is time dependent. The authors found that the probability of an accident involving only cars is highest after midnight (the peak probability occurs between 1 AM and 3 AM for both freeways) while the probability of an accident involving a truck is highest during mid-day (the peak probability occurs between 8 AM and 4 PM for both freeways). These results have implications for programs that attempt to move truck deliveries during off-peak hours such as the PierPass program implemented by the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach..

Suggested Citation
Ankoor Bhagat, Jean-Daniel Saphores and R. Jayakrishnan (2012) “An analysis of the timing of truck and car accidents in a busy freight corridor”, in Proceedings of the 91st annual meeting of the transportation research board, p. 16p.

published journal article

Development of expert systems technology in the California Department of Transporation

Transportation Research Record

Publication Date

January 1, 1988

Author(s)

Stephen Ritchie, Louis F. Cohn, Roswell A. Harris

Abstract

This paper presents the results of a research project the principal objective of which was to prepare a plan for the development and implementation of knowledge-based expert systems (KBES) projects throughout th.e California Department of Transportation (Caltrans). A major part of the project involved development of a special questionnaire and conduct of 50 in-depth interviews of Caltrans senior managers and engineers to identify candidate projects. Forty-five such projects were identified and ranked by priority. In addition, the following aspects were addressed: resource and time requirements for each KBES project, hardware and software needs to best accommodate implementation throughout Caltrans, and recommendations for training. Caltrans has now begun implementation of the plan developed in this research. A major new KBES research project on hazardous waste management has been initiated and is also discussed in this paper.

Suggested Citation
Stephen G. Ritchie, Louis F. Cohn and Roswell A. Harris (1988) “Development of expert systems technology in the California Department of Transporation”, Transportation Research Record, (1187), pp. 21–29. Available at: https://onlinepubs.trb.org/Onlinepubs/trr/1988/1187/1187-003.pdf.

published journal article

Factors influencing alternative fuel adoption decisions in heavy-duty vehicle fleets

Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment

Abstract

Understanding heavy-duty vehicle (HDV) fleet operator behavior with respect to adoption of alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs) is critically important for accelerating diffusion of these technologies, and for achieving societal benefits through reduced emissions and improved public health. However, fleet operator perspectives have thus far received limited attention, leaving a key knowledge gap. This study aims to fill this gap by exploring HDV fleet operator decisions about alternative fuel adoption using both existing literature and new empirical data. To this end, we first develop an initial theoretical framework of AFV fleet adoption behavior in organizations based upon existing theories and literature. We then empirically improve the framework by investigating 20 organizations in California via in-depth qualitative interviews and project reports. A total of 29 adoption and 42 non-adoption cases were probed across various alternative fuel technologies, including natural gas, propane, electricity, hydrogen, biodiesel, and renewable diesel options. Content analysis of the qualitative data yielded 38 motivators or barriers related to AFV adoption, encompassing perceived technological characteristics, organization characteristics, and external environmental influences. The study results contribute theoretically and empirically to a better understanding of the demand-side aspects of AFV adoption by HDV fleet operators, particularly in California and in the other US states that follow California’s environmental policies.

Suggested Citation
Youngeun Bae, Suman Kumar Mitra, Craig R. Rindt and Stephen G. Ritchie (2022) “Factors influencing alternative fuel adoption decisions in heavy-duty vehicle fleets”, Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 102, p. 103150. Available at: 10.1016/j.trd.2021.103150.

working paper

Organization Theory and the Structure and Performance of Transit Agencies

Publication Date

September 5, 1980

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-80-1

Areas of Expertise

Abstract

Relationships between structural and performance variables were studied in 16 public transit organizations in California. Data was collected from archives, personal interviews, management surveys and on-site observations. Statistical analyses focus upon associations between structural variables and organizational efficiency, effective ness, and employee withdrawal. Organization size, span of control, centralization, and length of managerial tenure were all associated with higher levels of organizational performance. Specialization and formali zation were found to be associated with lower levels of performance on certain efficiency and effectiveness indicators.

Suggested Citation
Gordon J. Fielding, Lyman W. Porter, Dan R. Dalton, Michael J. Spendolini and William D. Todor (1980) Organization Theory and the Structure and Performance of Transit Agencies. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-80-1. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2mb8t3dr.