published journal article

Hybrid cluster-regression approach to model bikeshare station usage

Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice

Publication Date

September 1, 2018

Author(s)

Michael Hyland, Zihan Hong, Helen Karla Ramalho de Farias Pinto, Ying Chen

Abstract

This paper proposes a hybrid approach to model usage at public bikeshare system (PBS) stations. The proposed Cluster Stations and Regress (CSR) modeling approach involves first clustering PBS stations based on the types of trips they attract using k-means or fuzzy c-means clustering techniques. After obtaining station-cluster membership values for each station, the authors estimate multilevel mixed-effect regression models with interactions between the station-cluster membership variables and determinants of PBS station usage. Determinants considered in the empirical models include the socio-demographic and commute characteristics of the residents in each PBS stationâ??s census tract, weather variables, temporal variables, and PBS station proximity to restaurants, jobs, transit stops, rail stations, the central business district (CBD), bicycle infrastructure, and other PBS stations. The model results clearly indicate that determinants of PBS station usage vary across station-clusters and including station-cluster interaction terms significantly improves model fit. Additionally, the results of cross-validation tests indicate that the CSR approach is a promising method to model monthly PBS station usage. The empirical results also clear up conflicting findings in the literature in terms of the impact of nearby PBS stations on station usage. The authors find that station usage increases with the number of other PBS stations within 1â??5â?¯km for member trips. However, after controlling for this effect, station usage decreases as the number of other PBS stations within 0.8â?¯km increases.

Suggested Citation
Michael Hyland, Zihan Hong, Helen Karla Ramalho de Farias Pinto and Ying Chen (2018) “Hybrid cluster-regression approach to model bikeshare station usage”, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 115, pp. 71–89. Available at: 10.1016/j.tra.2017.11.009.

working paper

Hazard Models of Changing Household Demographics

Publication Date

December 1, 1994

Associated Project

Author(s)

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-94-11

Areas of Expertise

Abstract

In this paper, I develop demographic models which can be used to simulation household changes resulting from marriage, divorce or separation, childbirth, children leaving home, cohabitation, extended families living together, death, and so forth. They are dynamic in nature, and are meant to be used within a larger microsimulation system. In fact, they can be used by any microsimulation system that models decision-making at the household level. They extend previous work in three ways: 1) by using continuos time hazard models, 2) by allowing for inter-dependencies across the various type of changes that a household may undergo, and 3) by including several important covariates. These covariates include age, gender, race, education, income, employment status, and indicators for previous demographic events (e.g. birth of a child out-of-wedlock and previous marriages). They provide insight into the demographic patterns across different socioeconomic groups.

Suggested Citation
Camilla Kazimi (1994) Hazard Models of Changing Household Demographics. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-94-11. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/31t362sh.

published journal article

A review of “China's pan-pearl river delta; regional cooperation and development”. Anthony G. O. Yeh & Jiang Xu (Eds.). (2011). Hong Kong: Hong Kong University Press. 320 pages. $35.00 (paperback).

Journal of The American Planning Association

Publication Date

January 1, 2012

Author(s)

Suggested Citation
Nicholas J. Marantz (2012) “A review of “China's pan-pearl river delta; regional cooperation and development”. Anthony G. O. Yeh & Jiang Xu (Eds.). (2011). Hong Kong: Hong Kong University Press. 320 pages. $35.00 (paperback).”, Journal of The American Planning Association, 78(1), pp. 111–112. Available at: 10.1080/01944363.2011.644209.

published journal article

A nonlinear filter coupled with hospitability and synthetic inclination maps for in-surveillance and out-of-surveillance tracking

IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics C: Applications and Reviews

Publication Date

January 1, 2010

Author(s)

Zaher Kassas, U. Ozguner
Suggested Citation
Z.M. Kassas and U. Ozguner (2010) “A nonlinear filter coupled with hospitability and synthetic inclination maps for in-surveillance and out-of-surveillance tracking”, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics C: Applications and Reviews, 40(1), pp. 87–97. Available at: 10.1109/tsmcc.2009.2024004.

conference paper

Environmental impacts of a major freight corridor: A study of the I-710 in California

Proceedings of the 89th annual meeting of the transportation research board, washington, DC

Suggested Citation
G. Lee, S. You, S.G. Ritchie, J. Saphores, M. Sangkapichai and R. Jayakrishnan (2009) “Environmental impacts of a major freight corridor: A study of the I-710 in California”, in Proceedings of the 89th annual meeting of the transportation research board, washington, DC.

Phd Dissertation

Essays on urban economics: Motorization, migration, and agglomeration

Abstract

This dissertation consists of three essays relating to urban, transportation, and labor economics, all of which focus on challenges facing large cities. While the first and second chapters examine rising car use and migration in developing countries, the third chapter examines cities in California, fragmented by their size and traffic congestion. While the first chapter is a theoretical analysis and uses numerical simulations, the second and third chapters are empirical and use microdata on households and business establishments. Chapter 1, “Motorization in developing countries,” examines the rise in car use and decline in bus use in developing countries using a theoretical, mode choice model and numerical simulations. This analysis of commuter car/bus mode choice shows that in addition to rising income, other factors may drive rising car use at the urban level including: greater income inequality, which can both increase or decrease car use; traffic congestion, which hinders buses more than cars; and policy interventions, which can reduce congestion by maintaining bus service as an alternate travel mode, even as incomes rise. Chapter 2, “Migration and the next generation,” estimates the effect of migrating to a more developed region of a developing country on the educational attainment of migrants’ children by comparing migrants, who have moved from Brazil’s Northeast region to the more developed state of São Paulo, to non-migrants, who remain in the Northeast. Because migration is likely to be selective, this analysis uses state level instrumental variables of distance and past migration rates to identify the effect of migration. Instrumental variables estimation finds a negative effect, suggesting that migration may make children no better off, and possibly worse off. Chapter 3, “Access to workers and employers,” attributes economies of agglomeration to either labor market pooling or employer-based productivity spillovers by estimating the effect of access to same-industry employment, other-industry employment, and specialized workers using census tract level data for four industries. The results show that both access to specialized workers and access to same-industry employers contribute to economies of agglomeration and that the magnitude of the worker effect is large relative to employer-based productivity spillovers.

Suggested Citation
Mark John Kutzbach (2009) Essays on urban economics: Motorization, migration, and agglomeration. Ph.D.. University of California, Irvine. Available at: https://uci.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/01CDL_IRV_INST/17uq3m8/alma991027864409704701 (Accessed: October 14, 2023).

working paper

A Model of Activity Participation and Travel Interactions Between Household Heads

Publication Date

August 1, 1996

Associated Project

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-96-13, UCI-ITS-AS-WP-96-3

Areas of Expertise

Abstract

A structural model is used to explain activity interactions between heads of households, and, in so doing, to explain household demand for travel. The model attempts to capture links between activity participation and associated derived travel, links between activities performed by male and female heads, links between types of travel, and time get feedbacks from travel to activity participation. Data for pairs of opposite gender heads of households are from the 1994 Portland Activity and Travel Survey. The results suggest that a feedback mechanism should be introduced in trip generation models to reflect the effect of activity frequency and duration on the level of associated travel.

Suggested Citation
Thomas F. Golob and Michael G. McNally (1996) A Model of Activity Participation and Travel Interactions Between Household Heads. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-96-13, UCI-ITS-AS-WP-96-3. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/76q07495.

conference paper

California State­wide exploratory analysis correlating land use density, infrastructure supply, and travel behavior

Proceedings of the 88th annual meeting of the transportation research board

Publication Date

January 1, 2009

Author(s)

Sungsu (Stephen) Yoon, Thomas Golob, Konstadinos Goulias

Abstract

The critical link between land use and transportation is human environment relations. Measurement of the environment includes representation of the spatial opportunities available to engage in activities and the infrastructure accessed by trip makers. In this paper an experiment is reported using travel behavior data from the statewide travel survey in California and a variety of activity opportunity measures at two different levels of geographic aggregation that are the tract and the block group levels covering the entire state. Using regression models the authors find these spatial measures to be significant explanatory variables and that measures form both aggregation levels explain behavior capturing a variety of complex influences. This study is also a demonstration that land use indicators and infrastructure availability can be included in travel behavior equations used in the four step and/or activity based forecasting models with largely available data in the Census Transportation Planning Package, network data available in transportation agencies, and typical regression methods included in statistical packages. Next steps are also outlined in the paper.

Suggested Citation
Seo Youn Yoon, Thomas F. Golob and Konstadinos G. Goulias (2009) “California State­wide exploratory analysis correlating land use density, infrastructure supply, and travel behavior”, in Proceedings of the 88th annual meeting of the transportation research board, p. 24p.

Phd Dissertation

An adaptive control algorithm for traffic -actuated signalized networks

Abstract

With advances in computation and sensing, real-time adaptive control has become an increasingly attractive option for improving the operational efficiency at signalized intersections. The great advantage of adaptive signal controllers is that the cycle length, phase splits and even phase sequence can be changed to satisfy current traffic demand patterns to a maximum degree, not confined by preset limits. To some extent, traffic-actuated controllers are themselves “adaptive” in view of their ability to vary control outcomes in response to real-time vehicle registrations at loop detectors, but this adaptability is restricted by a set of predefined, fixed control parameters that are not adaptive to current conditions. To achieve the functionality of truly adaptive controllers, a set of online optimized phasing and timing parameters are needed. This dissertation proposes a real-time, on-line control algorithm that aims to maintain the adaptive functionality of actuated controllers while improving the performance of signalized networks under traffic-actuated control. To facilitate deployment of the control, this algorithm is developed based on the timing protocol of the standard NEMA eight-phase full-actuated dual-ring controller. In formulating the optimal control problem, a flow prediction model is developed to estimate future vehicle arrivals at the target intersection, the traffic condition at the target intersection is described as “over-saturated” throughout the timing process, i.e., in the sense that a multi-server queuing system is continually occupied, and the optimization objective is specified as the minimization of total cumulative vehicle queue as an equivalent to minimizing total intersection control delay. According to the implicit timing features of actuated control, a modified rolling horizon scheme is devised to optimize four basic control parameters—phase sequence, minimum green, unit extension and maximum green—based on the future flow estimations, and these optimized parameters serve as available signal timing data for further optimizations. This dynamically recursive optimization procedure properly reflects the functionality of truly adaptive controllers. Microscopic simulation is used to test and evaluate the proposed control algorithm in a calibrated network consisting of thirty-eight actuated signals. Simulation results indicate that the proposed algorithm has the potential to improve the performance of the signalized network under the condition of different traffic demand levels.

Suggested Citation
Xing Zheng (2010) An adaptive control algorithm for traffic -actuated signalized networks. Ph.D.. University of California, Irvine. Available at: https://uci.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/01CDL_IRV_INST/17uq3m8/alma991028359769704701 (Accessed: October 14, 2023).

published journal article

Measuring welfare gains from relaxation of land-use restrictions: The case of India's building-height limits

Regional Science and Urban Economics

Publication Date

November 1, 2012

Author(s)

Jan Brueckner, Kala Seetharam Sridhar

Abstract

This paper estimates the effect of building-height limits on the spatial sizes of Indian cities. Regression results show that height limits, which are imposed in draconian fashion in India, cause spatial expansion of its cities, as predicted by the theoretical model of Bertaud and Brueckner (2005). The regression coefficients, by yielding the implied reduction in the area of an average city from a marginal increase in its height limit, allow computation of the annual saving in commuting cost for the city’s edge household when the limit is relaxed. This cost saving, which is an exact measure of the common welfare gain for each urban household, can be scaled up to yield the aggregate consumer gain in a typical city from relaxation of India’s restrictive height limits. For a moderate height-limit increase, this gain equals 106 million rupees. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Suggested Citation
Jan K. Brueckner and Kala Seetharam Sridhar (2012) “Measuring welfare gains from relaxation of land-use restrictions: The case of India's building-height limits”, Regional Science and Urban Economics, 42(6), pp. 1061–1067. Available at: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2012.08.003.