Understanding the Impact of Housing Costs in California on Commute Length in Terms of Travel Time and Distance

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

October 6, 2019 - October 5, 2020

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

Concerns about the environmental impacts of transportation have turned reducing vehicle-miles traveled (VMT) into a policy priority. One way to decrease VMT is to reduce the length of commuting trips. Unfortunately, the average U.S. commute keeps getting longer. Prior research has investigated the determinants of commuting, but few have analyzed the linkage between housing costs and the length of commuting. This problem is especially salient in California given the state’s perennial housing shortage and the high costs of housing, which have forced many lower- and middle-class households to move inland in search of more affordable housing at the cost of longer commutes. Most of those commuting trips are by car. This project investigates these linkages using Generalized Structural Equation Modeling and analyzing 2012 CHTS data for Los Angeles County – the most populous county in the U.S. The model, which jointly explains commuting distance and time, accounts for residential self-selection and car use endogeneity, while controlling for household characteristics and land use around residences and workplaces. Better understanding the determinants of commuting is critical to inform housing and transportation policy, improve the health of commuters, reduce air pollution, and achieve climate goals.

The Causes and Consequences of Local Growth Control: A Transportation Perspective

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

October 8, 2019 - October 7, 2020

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Department(s)

Urban Planning and Public Policy

Project Summary

This project will synthesize two sets of studies concerning the causes and consequences of local growth control focusing on implications for transportation and the unique context of each study. The first set of studies addresses the determinants of local growth controls and the circumstances under which a locality is likely to adopt relatively restrictive land use regulations. This body of work includes municipality-level analyses of the determinants of growth control and investigations of voting patterns on growth control measures and relevant issues. The second body of research to be reviewed is related to how limited housing supply (due to growth control and/or other regulatory barriers) affects household residential location and travel patterns. This body of work covers empirical research on the impact of inelastic housing supply on population distribution and resultant transportation outcomes as well as studies on broader transportation challenges that arise due to regulatory barriers to housing development and forces behind them.

Academic Advisory Panel: Peer Review and Validation of the Five Big Moves

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

February 19, 2020 - November 30, 2020

Principal Investigator

Project Summary

This project focused on providing SANDAG with the latest research, data, and tools that can be used to support the development of the SANDAG 2021 Regional Transportation Plan (RTP), with a focus on identifying how the advances in technology, coupled with public policy can enable the region to rethink and to maximize the coordination between land use and transportation planning and, in particular, operationalizing off-model methodologies for use in SANDAG’s submission of the Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS) methodology to the California Air Resources Board (CARB).

The Influence of Housing Characteristics on Complex Travel Behavior

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

January 1, 2020 - December 31, 2020

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

UPDATED ABSTRACT: Recent California policy discussions suggest that the travel impacts resulting from strategies for housing growth are not well understood, in part because metropolitan growth has always occurred according to local zoning and land use plans. Fundamental alterations of local planning guidelines, in turn, have unknown transportation impacts. This project reviewed and synthesized policy and academic literature on housing-and-transportation linkages. The project team then applied a process developed in related research to categorize tour-based travel patterns and related these to household characteristics. The project team established connections between household tour behavior and residential variables, which were used to classify types of travelers. The focus of this research was on users of public transit and ride hailing services.

Analysis of Activity-Travel Patterns and Tour Formation of Transit Users

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

May 1, 2020 - April 30, 2021

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

This study analyzed the complex travel behavior of transit users by expanding conventional trip-based approaches by considering full activity-travel tours and patterns as basic units of analysis. A tour was defined as a sequence of trips that begins and ends at home and a pattern was defined as an entire day’s sequence of activities and associated travel. We considered basic descriptive analyses to first analyze work tours-the tours that contain at least one work activity-of transit commuters and then used Structural Equation Modeling to identify the factors that determine the work tour choices. Latent Class Analysis (LCA) was then used to describe the pattern behaviors of all transit users. The results obtained using the 2017 National Household Travel Survey dataset suggested that 80 percent of work tours consisted of seven dominant tours and that work tour choice was influenced by a set of socio-demographics, built environment, and activity-travel characteristics. The LCA model suggested that transit users can be divided into five distinct classes, namely regular 9-to-5 commuters, after-work stop commuters, multimodal multiple trip makers, morning non-work travelers, and recurrent transit users, where each class had a representative activity-travel pattern. The results can help transit agencies to identify transit user groups with particular activity patterns and to consider market strategies to address user travel needs and to improve the quality of services provided.

SCC-PG: Community-Centered Optimization of Infrastructure Upgrades and Policy Options for Shared Mobility and Connected Automated Vehicles

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

May 3, 2020 - July 31, 2021

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering, Transportation Science Interdisciplinary Graduate Degree Program

Project Summary

The overarching goal of this research is to improve sustainability, livability, accessibility, and mobility (SLAM) throughout metropolitan regions via supporting infrastructure investment planning and transport policies, in order to seize the potential SLAM benefits of connected automated vehicles (CAVs) and mobility service providers (MSPs; e.g. Uber and Lyft). To meet this goal, we plan to develop multi resolution regional transport system modeling tools that are sensitive to transport policies (e.g. congestion pricing, sharing incentives) and infrastructure investments (e.g. 5G and/or DSRC, protected left-turns, lane striping) and explicitly capture MSPs and CAVs. We also plan to develop optimization models for proactive infrastructure investments to maximize the SLAM benefits of CAVs, rather than reactively upgrading infrastructure. 
The objectives of the project’s planning phase include (1) identifying the modeling needs of our community partners to determine the proper scope and scale of a research project; (2) forming the best team of interdisciplinary researchers; (3) refining our methodological approach; (4) prototyping regional transport models with MSPs and CAVs; and (5) prototyping optimization models for infrastructure investments. 
The planning grant’s major activities include meetings with our main community stakeholder, the San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG), other regional planning agencies, and cities who will implement infrastructure upgrades, to determine modeling needs on four interrelated topics: MSPs, CAVs, infrastructure, and policy. We also plan to host a workshop exploring the intersection of these four topics with researchers and practitioners from academia, planning agencies, and technology companies.

COVID-19, Commuting, and E-Shopping: Understanding Current and Future Impacts in California

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

September 1, 2020 - August 30, 2021

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

With widespread business closures and stay-at-home restrictions due to COVID-19, commuting has dropped while telecommuting and e-commerce have soared. This joint UC Berkeley/UC Irvine project seeks to understand opportunities and potential impacts of COVID-19 on commuting and e-commerce. The research team proposes a mixed-method approach comprised of expert interviews, focus groups in Northern and Southern California, an online survey of Californians (n=~1,000), and a survey of super commuters (n=up to 500). The survey of the California population will show how travelers have been affected by COVID-19 for commuting and shopping and provide vital information about mode shift, public transit use, and willingness to share transportation post COVID-19. Understanding how Californians work and shop is critical to informing a number of policies at various levels of government including: AB/SB 32 (California’s Climate Change Solutions Act); SB 375 (Smart Growth Strategies); SB 743 (Converting Level of Service to VMT metrics under the California Environmental Quality Act); and other local and state transportation demand management (TDM) and commute trip reduction laws, ordinances, and policies. The data collected on goods delivery behavior will also have widespread implications, such as recommending a new set of TDM policy strategies for retailers, freight/supply chains management, and other stakeholders.

Autonomicity: A Modeling Framework for Equitable Policy Analysis for Future Transportation

Status

In Progress

Project Timeline

September 1, 2020 - August 30, 2021

Principal Investigator

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering, Transportation Science Interdisciplinary Graduate Degree Program

Project Summary

An agent‐based simulation platform (“Autonomicity”) has been under development at UCI with SB‐1 funds. This platform has the necessary modules with proper state‐of‐the art routing, ride‐matching, pricing and other algorithmic components, as well as the real‐time communication among them. While the platform itself is not network‐specific, future mobility requires a study context, and a network in the city of Irvine, CA, is currently incorporated. This proposal is to develop the platform as a policy tool to study efficient and equitable/fair allocation of transportation supply, with methodological focus on congestion pricing under traveler heterogeneity. Current congestion pricing schemes may cause social barriers for low‐income populations. Thus, this project devises a smart mobility platform to study equitable options where travelers desiring a faster travel option pay for it, and travelers willing to yield his/her fastest option receive incentives. New behavioral paradigms such as envy‐theory will be used. Two main modules introduced in Autonomicity will be: 1) a pricing module to find the optimal tolls/incentives and 2) a dynamic traffic assignment module to find optimal systemwide traffic patterns. The research will result utilities for a user‐friendly decision‐support tool for policymakers.

Factors Affecting Development Decisions and Construction Delay of Housing in Transit-Accessible and Jobs-Rich Areas in California

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

September 1, 2020 - August 30, 2021

Principal Investigator

Nicholas Marantz, Doug Houston, Jae Hong Kim, Nicholas Marantz

Project Team

Doug Houston, Jae Hong Kim, Youjin Kim, Nicholas MarantzDoug HoustonJae Hong KimNicholas Marantz

Department(s)

Urban Planning and Public Policy

Project Summary

Recent state legislation has attempted to address California’s housing affordability crisis by encouraging new development in transit-accessible and/or jobs-rich areas. But policymakers lack adequate information in two key areas: the effects of transportation laws and plans on the decisions of developers regarding whether and where to build housing; and the determinants of delays in approvals for proposed projects in jobs-rich and transit-accessible areas. Drawing on a unique dataset detailing all residential projects of five units or more that were approved from 2014 through 2017 in seven Southern California jurisdictions, this project will analyze the extent to which transportation policies, rules, plans, and investments influence the location of new housing and delay the construction of new housing. Using descriptive statistics and multivariate modeling, the research team will examine developers’ decisions concerning whether and where to build housing, identifying how project-level attributes and contextual variables, including those related to transportation, affect decisions about whether and where to build infill projects in jobs-rich and transit-rich locations. This work will also include a systematic comparison of permitting timelines for otherwise comparable projects with different degrees of transit availability or job accessibility, along with multivariate modeling to assess the determinants of delay.

Identifying Types of Telecommuters based on Daily Travel and Activity Patterns

Status

Complete

Project Timeline

September 1, 2020 - August 30, 2021

Principal Investigator

Project Team

Department(s)

Civil and Environmental Engineering

Project Summary

With the recent advent of telecommunications and information technologies, telecommuting becomes a rising trend as one of the most important alternative work arrangements. Moreover, due to the current worldwide outbreak of the COVID-19 disease, this choice has turned out to be a more vital one than ever. It is, therefore, crucial to identify the potential groups of workers who are more likely to be the telecommuters and to understand how the telecommuters schedule their daily activities and travel. The goal of this research is to address these issues. In particular, the team will perform the following three tasks: (1) identification of a number of distinct groups of telecommuters with a representative activity-travel pattern and a similar degree of telecommuting adoption (2) finding out similarities and differences in activity-travel behavior between national-level and regional-level (California) telecommuters and between commuters and telecommuters, and (3) investigation of impacts of telecommuting on individual’s time-use and tour behavior as well as the overall transportation system. Two large household travel survey datasets—2012 California Household Travel Survey (CHTS) and 2017 National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) will be used to conduct necessary analysis. This research is expected to provide valuable insights to policy makers on various telecommuter groups and their activity-travel patterns, adoption of telecommuting, and its impacts on travel.