working paper

Geographic Scalability and Supply Chain Elasticity of a Structural Commodity Generation Model Using Public Data

Publication Date

October 1, 2012

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-12-4

Areas of Expertise

Abstract

Freight forecasting models are data intensive and require many explanatory variables to be accurate. One problem, particularly in the United States, is that public data sources are mostly at highly aggregate geographic levels, while models with more disaggregate geographic levels are required for regional freight transportation planning. Second, supply chain effects are often ignored or modeled with economic input-output models which lack explanatory power. This study addresses these challenges by considering a structural equation modeling approach, which is not confined to a specific spatial structure as spatial regression models would be, and allows for correlations between commodities. A FAF-based structural commodity generation model is specified and estimated and shown to provide a better fit to the data than independent regression models for each commodity. Three features of the model are discussed: indirect effects, supply chain elasticity, and intrazonal supply-demand interactions. A validation of the geographic scalability of the model is conducted using data imputed with a goal programming method.

Suggested Citation
Fatemeh Ranaiefar, Joseph Y.J. Chow, Daniel Rodriguez-Roman, Pedro V. Camargo and Stephen G. Ritchie (2012) Geographic Scalability and Supply Chain Elasticity of a Structural Commodity Generation Model Using Public Data. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-12-4. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6hz8v1wx.

working paper

A Non-Compensatory Model of Transportation Behavior Based on Sequential Consideration of Attributes

Publication Date

September 5, 1978

Working Paper

UCI-ITS-WP-78-2

Areas of Expertise

Abstract

The proposed model of travel choice behavior is based upon an assupmtion that individuals compare their choice alternatives on a series of attributes ordered in terms of importance; they eliminate from consideration :those alternatives which do not meet their expectation on one or more of the characteristics. The process is repeated with adjusted levels of expectation until only one alternative remains. The model thus incorporates a number of psycho logical decision axioms which have seldom been applied in models aimed at providing transportation planners with useful information from consumer survey data. Estimates of parameters defining distributions of expectation levels in a population of travelers are generated using a nonlinear optimization technique. The technique is demonstrated to provide estimates which replicate well the choices of travelers in two different contexts: choice of hypothetical concepts of small urban vehicles and choice of destination for shopping trips within an urban area.

Suggested Citation
Will Recker and Thomas F. Golob (1978) A Non-Compensatory Model of Transportation Behavior Based on Sequential Consideration of Attributes. Working Paper UCI-ITS-WP-78-2. Institute of Transportation Studies, Irvine. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8172f94d.

published journal article

Reductions in aggression and violence following cognitive behavioural anger treatment for detained patients with intellectual disabilities. Reductions in aggression and violence in detained patients

Journal of Intellectual Disability Research

Publication Date

August 1, 2015

Author(s)

J.L. Taylor, Raymond Novaco, Tim Brown
Suggested Citation
J.L. Taylor, R.W. Novaco and T. Brown (2015) “Reductions in aggression and violence following cognitive behavioural anger treatment for detained patients with intellectual disabilities. Reductions in aggression and violence in detained patients”, Journal of Intellectual Disability Research, 60(2), pp. 126–133. Available at: 10.1111/jir.12220.

working paper

Court Intervention, The Consent Decree, and The Century Freeway

Publication Date

September 1, 1991

Associated Project

Author(s)

Joseph Dimento, Jace Baker, Robert Detlefson, Dru Van Hengel, Dean Hestermann, Brenda Nordenstam

Working Paper

No. 381

Areas of Expertise

Abstract

The Glenn Anderson Freeway-Transitway (the Century Freeway or 1-105) an Los Angeles County, to cost over two billion dollars, traverses nine cities and the County of Los Angeles. At completion in 1993, the Century Freeway will be seventeen miles long, six lanes wide, contain areas for high occupancy vehicles and for rail transit; it will be landscaped and noise attenuated, and it will be surrounded by thousands of units of housing which are linked to its development.

Suggested Citation
Joseph DiMento, Jace Baker, Robert Detlefson, Dru Van Hengel, Dean Hestermann and Brenda Nordenstam (1991) Court Intervention, The Consent Decree, and The Century Freeway. Working Paper No. 381. Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Irvine: University of California Transportation Center. Available at: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/22b8v69h.

working paper

Trucking Industry Demand for Urban Shared Use Freight Terminals

Publication Date

March 1, 2003

Abstract

The issue of shared use urban freight facilities first received attention during the 1970’s when it was observed that, while inter-urban freight movements were becoming increasingly efficient, there were significant diseconomies in the movement of freight via truck within urban areas. Early research suggested that shared urban freight facilities should be constructed so that trucking companies could consolidate smaller shipments into larger ones. In the past few years, the concept of “Urban Ports” has gained increasing attention, not just for carriers who need to load and unload freight, but to provide a place near the urban center for truckers to wait out peak traffic periods. In this paper, using recently developed survey data, we examine trucking company interest in such facilities by examining the results of an ordered probit demand model.

published journal article

Delineating the regional market in studies of intercity competition

Urban Geography

Publication Date

April 1, 2010

Author(s)

Victoria Basolo, David Lowery
Suggested Citation
Victoria Basolo and David Lowery (2010) “Delineating the regional market in studies of intercity competition”, Urban Geography, 31(3), pp. 369–384. Available at: 10.2747/0272-3638.31.3.369.

policy brief

Can Plug-in Electric Vehicles in a Smart Grid Improve Resiliency?

Abstract

While the impact of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) on electricity generation and transmission has been studied extensively, the impact of PEVs on the resiliency of the local electricity distribution system has not been addressed in detail. Understanding resiliency impacts is important as the increased use of PEVs, and especially the clustering of PEVs in one area (such as a neighborhood), place additional pressures on already aging power grid infrastructure. As an example, charging a large population of PEVs during normal operations can stress system components (such as transformers) resulting in accelerated aging or even failure, which reduces resiliency of the system. On the other hand, PEVs can also increase system resiliency. When connected to the grid, PEVs are an energy resource that can provide electricity for critical services (such as community shelters) during grid outages and facilitate grid restoration by providing electricity to support the restart of transformers and other utility assets.

Suggested Citation
Ghazal Razeghi and Scott Samuelsen (2021) Can Plug-in Electric Vehicles in a Smart Grid Improve Resiliency?. Policy Brief. UC ITS. Available at: https://doi.org/10.7922/g2hm56qz.

Phd Dissertation

Smoothing and Imputation of Longitudinal Vehicle Trajectory Data

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to develop a methodology for processing vehicle trajectory data which are presented as a series of discrete positions of vehicles recorded over consecutive time intervals. The framework combines vehicle trajectory smoothing and imputation, ensuring that speeds and higher-order derivatives of positions are consistently defined as symplectic differences in positions, while adhering to physically meaningful bounds determined by traffic laws, drivers’ behaviors, and vehicle characteristics.To remove the outliers and high-frequency noises in speeds and higher-order derivatives, we incorporate some basic principles, including internal consistency, bounded speeds and higher-order derivatives, and minimum MAE between the raw and smoothed positions, based on physical properties and empirical observations. We propose an iterative method. One iteration comprises four types of calculations: differentiation, correction, smoothing, and integration. We adopt the adaptive average method for correction, the Gaussian filter for smoothing, and minimizing the MAEs as the objective in integration. The efficacy of the method is numerically shown with the NGSIM data. However, it is mathematically challenging to demonstrate when the iterations converge or even that the iterations can converge, leading us to develop more mathematically tractable techniques that can either be proved to converge or get rid of iterations.We then propose a simplified iterative moving average method that makes the ranges of the smoothed speeds, acceleration rates, and jerks align with physical meaning, while preserving the average speeds or total travel distance for a specified time duration segment of a vehicle’s trajectory. Theoretically, we prove that without termination, the speed converges to a constant value after an infinite number of iterations, ensuring the termination of our method and physically meaningful ranges in speeds and their derivatives. Numerically, we demonstrate the advantages of the method in achieving physically and behaviorally meaningful ranges by applying it to the NGSIM dataset and comparing the results with manually re-extracted data and traditional filtering methods.As another extension of the first smoothing method, We propose a two-step quadratic programming method that incorporates insights into human behavior, particularly the tendency to minimize jerks during motion, and integrates prior position errors derived from pixel length in video images. This method operates without the need for iterative processes, facilitating a single-round solution. Mathematically, we establish the existence and uniqueness of solutions to the quadratic programming problems, thus ensuring the well-defined nature of the method. Numerically, using NGSIM data, we compare the method with an existing approach with respect to the manually re-extracted ones and show the robustness of the method upon the highD data.In addition, we investigate the scenarios involving missing portions of trajectories. In the last part of this dissertation, we consider segment scenarios where leading and trailing vehicles’ trajectories are obtainable through mobile sensors, while those of intermediate vehicles require imputation based on detected entering and exiting times from loop detectors, and propose a three-step quadratic programming method for longitudinal trajectory imputation of fully sampled vehicles. The method ensures maintaining safe inter-vehicle spacing and adheres to physically meaningful speed, acceleration, and jerk ranges. Using NGSIM and highD data, we demonstrate the great performance of the method in imputing trajectories for three-, four-, five-, and six-vehicle platoons and illustrate its successful application in capturing the true conditions of a mixed-traffic system including 10% connected vehicles (CVs) and 10% CAVs.

Suggested Citation
Ximeng Fan (2023) Smoothing and Imputation of Longitudinal Vehicle Trajectory Data. UC Irvine. Available at: https://uci.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/01CDL_IRV_INST/u4evf/cdi_cdl_escholarship_oai_escholarship_org_ark_13030_qt8c4333qs (Accessed: October 23, 2024).

Phd Dissertation

Assessment of a self-organizing distributed traffic information system : modeling and simulation

Publication Date

September 16, 2003

Author(s)

Suggested Citation
Xu Yang (2003) Assessment of a self-organizing distributed traffic information system : modeling and simulation. PhD Dissertation. UC Irvine. Available at: https://uci.primo.exlibrisgroup.com/permalink/01CDL_IRV_INST/17uq3m8/alma991013973349704701.

published journal article

Telecommuting and Travel during COVID-19: An Exploratory Analysis across Different Population Geographies in the U.S.A.

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Abstract

This study explores the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on telecommuting (working from home) and travel during the first year of the pandemic in the U.S.A. (from March 2020 to March 2021), with a particular focus on examining the variation in impact across different U.S. geographies. We divided 50 U.S. states into several clusters based on their geographic and telecommuting characteristics. Using K-means clustering, we identified four clusters comprising 6 small urban states, 8 large urban states, 18 urban–rural mixed states, and 17 rural states. Combining data from multiple sources, we observed that nearly one-third of the U.S. workforce worked from home during the pandemic, which was six times higher than the pre-pandemic period, and that these fractions varied across the clusters. More people worked from home in urban states compared with rural states. As well as telecommuting, we examined several activity travel trends across these clusters: reduction in the number of activity visits; changes in the number of trips and vehicle-miles traveled; and mode usage. Our analysis showed there was a greater reduction in the number of workplace and nonworkplace visits in urban states compared with rural states. The number of trips in all distance categories decreased except for long-distance trips, which increased during the summer and fall of 2020. The changes in overall mode usage frequency were similar across urban and rural states with a large drop in ride-hailing and transit use. This comprehensive study can provide a better understanding of the regional variation in the impact of the pandemic on telecommuting and travel, which can facilitate informed decision-making.

Suggested Citation
Rezwana Rafiq, Michael G. McNally and Md Yusuf Sarwar Uddin (2023) “Telecommuting and Travel during COVID-19: An Exploratory Analysis across Different Population Geographies in the U.S.A.”, Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2677(4), pp. 562–582. Available at: 10.1177/03611981221109182.